U of M final consumer sentiment revided down, inflation expectations revised up… see our Economic Data Calendar
Long-term inflation expectations are at a 32 year high
EURUSD pops briefly above 1.08 on this headline… conspiracy theory says someone had the inside scoop on this given the way EURUSD traded bid ahead of it
EURUSD 4h
1.08200 proved to be a strong Resistance yesterday.
Hence: Close tonight below 1.08000 ( preferably below 1.08900) would be Bearish for tomorrow.
EURUSD Opened just below 1.08000
And that was a typical “Retest” and not re test – English and literature 101 has no place in Trading.
Resistances: 1.07800, 1.08000 & 1.08200
Supports: 1.07600, 1.07450 & 1.07300
4H chart
US OPEN
US futures approach PCE in the red following the overnight tone and further risk aversion from earthquakes in Myanmar; Carney to speak with Trump today
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 6 things you need to know for today’s market.
6 Things You Need to Know
European bourses and US futures approach PCE in the red following the overnight tone and further risk aversion from earthquakes in Myanmar
Canadian PM to speak with Trump today; EU has mentioned Apple, Meta and PayPal as part of any potential tariff response
DXY attempts to claw back Thursday’s pressure and is firmer vs peers ex-JPY, which is the best performer after Tokyo CPI
A firmer start for fixed benchmark ahead of US PCE and any tariff/trade developments, no move to the morning’s prelim. HICP figures
Crude choppy, precious metals underpinned by the tone while base metals are lower
Geopolitics in focus amid updates on Panama, Ukraine minerals deal and further damage to the Sudzha station
thks to cnbc bi-line
“February’s personal consumption expenditures price index is due at 8:30 a.m. ET and could confirm whether investors should be concerned about sticky inflation, especially after the Federal Reserve recently raised its inflation forecast. Economists polled by Dow Jones see the headline PCE price index reading rising 0.3% in February and 2.5% from 12 months earlier.”
10-yr 4.33 dowm a tad
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
.. the dollar trading firmer except vs. the JPY, a reversal of what wax seen at this time yesterday as mood turns to risk off (and an unchanged GBPISD… weaker EURGBP)
What caught me eye:
USDJPY came within 10 pips of 151.30 and then went into retreat
EURUSD printed 1.08 (6th day in a row) but no higher
XAUUSD at a new record high
Tame EZ flash CPI
UK retaik salea beat
Looking ahead
Key data focus will be on US PCE
Monday is month/quarter end
Wednesday is reciprocal tariff day
Spring forward for clocks this weekend
Carney says Canada cannot rely on U.S. any longer and must achieve ‘economic autonomy’
such as thusly:
““Over the coming weeks, months, and years, we must fundamentally reimagine our economy,” Mr. Carney said. “We will need to ensure Canada can succeed in a drastically different world. The old relationship we had with the U.S. based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military co-operation is over.”
usdcad 1.4313
marc carney, sofar current canadian PM explaining and predicting things about president Trump’s tariffs:
Canada election: Carney says ‘nothing is off the table’ to fight Trump’s tariffs
we will … blablabla … roar
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https://www.onlinebroker.fr
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Current and potential Scandinavian currency traders will likely enjoy Valutahandel.se , a website about forex trading in Sweden.
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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