Bobby my sister warned me lol. I run really fast, and I literally am a kung fu instructor. So I timed it and it was looking at me like (man that hooomin move quick) lol. They are stubborn. It will be back lol. I am old school Italian and my nickname when I was a fighter was …. Wait for it …. Puma. Patient but if you get me upset enough lightning strikes lol. There is no way we as traders will survive without an attitude lol.
Ok this is what caused the bad yen trade. I live on very nice property in California, and there are wild turkeys. They are stubborn. So the turkey and I have a long standing fight going on lol. So it distracted me while I was in Yen and lost money. So I got really peeved, understand I run really fast, so I chased the turkey up the hill, but it is fast. So I went back inside, collected myself, and hid. I caught it. I let it go. I believe we have an understanding lol. The life of a trader. Good music and a good heart helps. I let the turkey go. 😊
Bobby we are here lol…I got my backside handed to me in yen, took a break, put on silly music, made it back in UsdChf like I posted yesterday, was on the wrong side, grew a pair and got right back in it out of spite lol, even at 8797 (wanted 8800 like I said yesterday). Purely a po’d trade. Made it back. Correct me if I am wrong, sometimes traders go with probabilities and it worked again.
Next up
US RETAIL SALES (THU): US retail sales are expected to rise +0.3% M/M (prev. -0.8%), and the ex-autos measure is seen rising +0.3% M/M too (prev. -0.6%). Bank of America’s Consumer Checkpoint update for February notes that weather conditions were largely to blame for the weakness in January, but where the weather was better, spending was resilient, and in the later part of January, total card spending per household rebounded across the country. The bank notes that while consumer confidence has rebounded recently, it remains relatively weak given the consumer has been resilient over the last year and the labour market has been solid, likely a result of ‘sticker shock’ from higher prices. But ahead, BofA says that “as the rate of inflation comes down, this sticker shock should begin to fade, particularly as aftertax wages and salaries growth remains healthy for low and middle-income households in our data,” adding that “consumers’ savings buffers remain elevated and shows no significant sign that people are tapping into their longer-term retirement savings.”Newsquawk.com
10-yr 4.206% Yield | 3:38 AM EDT
yellen watch
(Bloomberg) March 13, 2024 — US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said it’s “unlikely” that market interest rates will return to levels that prevailed before the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a wave of inflation and higher yields.
“I think it reflects current market realities and the forecasts that we’re seeing in the private sector — that it seems unlikely that yields are going to go back to being as low as they were before the pandemic,”
The yield on 10-year US Treasury notes averaged 2.39% in the decade through 2019 — low by historical standards. It spiked above 5% last October after the Federal Reserve raised rates aggressively to combat inflation, and now sits just below 4.2%
USDCAD Analysis: Breakdown Below Support and Potential Price Movements
USDCAD has recently breached the support level at 1.3466, signaling a resumption of the downward movement from 1.3605.
A further decline towards testing the 1.3419 support level is anticipated in the upcoming days. Should there be a breakdown below this level, it could potentially trigger an extended downward move towards the 1.3340 area.
The initial resistance to monitor stands at 1.3490. A successful breakout above this level could lead to a retest of the 1.3525 resistance level. Surpassing this level would suggest that the downward movement from 1.3605 may have concluded at 1.3419, with the next target likely at 1.3560, followed by the previous high at 1.3605.
EURUSD Daily
Supports at 1.09300 & 1.08700
Resistances at : 1.09650 , 1.09800 & 1.10500
For the pair to continue Upwards and target 1.10500 , it has to stay Tomorrow above 1.09300. Any break bellow would lead it to Channel Support at 1.08700.
1.09650 is a Major Obstacle on the road to new highs .
In the case it shows as a tough cookie, EURUSD will start the Inevitable deeper correction .
Buying it above 1.09300 , with the very tight stop just bellow it is the strategy if you feel the need to be involved.
The other approach is wait and see, and if 1.09300 taken out, Sell for the run to 1.08700 area.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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