EURJPY 4 HOUR
I was asked why the dollar is not moving up with higher yields today.
My answer: Look at the JPY where weak crosses are giving other currencies, such as the EURUSD, some offset support.
So, take a look at EURJPY, which is testing the next resistance at 162.18.
161.70 is now the key support.
EURUSD 4H
Eur just couldn’t close bellow that support trend line…
This looks very bearish, and calls for at least another attempt for previous low , or near it.
I’ll give it all the way to 1.08650, and if taken out, we are on the road to 1.07950
However, if it holds, we can witness few days of Sideways to Up. Even 1.09200
I am not going to Buy it no matter what.
Sell small time frames
DLRx 102.94 – little-bitly down
10-yr 4.273%
–
dlr may be up on the week but looking to take a pause here.
players’ consensus for next week FED is no change.
Probable next player interest will be FOMC’s dots. (the dots are a coded messaging system to quasi-insiders and are assumed to represent policy-makers’ expectations)
BTC 4 HOUR CHART
When something moves *in this case down) almost 6%, it is hard to give a technical view even though charts after the fact can look clear (note 2 blue AT lines signaled a potential top).
Given the way BTC trades, psychological or magic number levels might be a better guide.
In this regard, 60,000-65,000-70,000 will dictate how far this retracement goes.
USDCHF Analysis: Breakout and Potential Upside Movement
Following the breakout above the resistance of the descending price channel on the 4-hour chart, USDCHF has continued its upward trajectory by surpassing the 0.8794 resistance level and reaching a peak of 0.8852. This development suggests that the downward movement from 0.8892 may have concluded at 0.8729.
A further rally is likely in the upcoming days, with the next target set at the previous high of 0.8892. If the price manages to exceed this level, the focus could shift towards the 0.9000 area.
The initial support level to monitor is at 0.8794. Only a breakdown below this level could potentially trigger another descent towards testing the 0.8729 support level.
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART
Some pre-BoJ meeting cold feet have JPY trading weaker
Offsets out of EURJPY buying are helping so far to keep EURUSD above 1.0867 (see post below)
Rising red AT lines show risk to the upside as long as it stays above 148.00-04 but…
Major resistance is not until the upper 150+ so not close to key levels.
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland
European traders may do well to brace themselves for a sell-off on Friday, with equity markets sinking around Asia as investors adjust to the prospect of later and fewer Fed rate cuts this year.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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