GBPUSD 4H
Is this a start of run to 1.32 ?
Supports: 1.29400 & 1.29300
Resistances: 1.29750 & 1.29900
We’ve been watching a consolidation from 12th March and it is starting Up again.
Now I don’t want to bother you with details, but one is very important – how Cable is going to close this bar – for more advances I prefer somewhere around 1.29500 and then for the new high.
Worst case scenario is if it closes close to the previous high – than expect a pull back towards MA’s
EURUSD DAILY CHART – 5 days in a row
Past 5 days trading around 1.09 except one day when the high was 1.0897 (close enough)
Range over this period has been 1.0822=-1.0947… midpoint is 1.08845 as a reference level.
Next directional move will be dictated by whether 1.09 becomes a solid support or resistance…. looking at this chart shows either uptrend out of steam so consolidting
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
A cautious start to what will be an event filled week with the dollar trading a touch sotter except vs a steady JPY..
XAUUSD is higher below 3000.
Trump to talk with Putin on Tuesday in ending the Ukraine-Russia war.
U.S. Retail Sales due…See a detailed preview.
THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
The March 18-19 FOMC meeting is the key focus of the week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s March 7 remarks aimed to maintain market stability, emphasizing that monetary policy decisions will be based on economic data rather than external policy changes.
Powell highlighted a steady labor market with moderate hiring and low layoffs outside tech and government. He stated that the U.S. economy is in a “good place” and that the Fed can be patient, keeping the fed funds target range at 4.25-4.50% since December 2024.
Markets do not expect a rate change at the FOMC’s March 20 announcement, but the release of the quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will be analyzed for signs of a 2025 GDP slowdown, rising unemployment, or persistent inflation. Powell’s press briefing may address how White House policies have influenced forecasts.
Additionally, the Fed may consider ending its balance sheet reduction program, which has cut reserve holdings by $2 trillion since mid-2022. The current $6.5 trillion balance may now be considered sufficient, shifting from “abundant” pandemic-era reserves to “ample” levels preferred by policymakers.
Econoday
Interview with The Sunday Times Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the ECB, 16 March 2025
…we need to consider the uncertainty of the current environment, which is even higher than it was during the pandemic.
You said the uncertainty now is even greater than during the pandemic. How would you characterise it? What are the big unknowns at the moment?
First, the policies of the new US Administration. There’s a lot of talk about tarif…
A full calendar of events
Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights17th-21st March 2025
Week Ahead: Highlights include FOMC, BoJ, BoE, SNB, US Retail Sales, Aussie jobs, Japan & Canada CPI jobs, Japan & Canada CPI
Global-view.com GTA Challenge Continues – More Prizes
We are happy to announce next round of our GTA Challenge.
The Challenge will start on March 17th 202
This time we are brining you a chance to get one of 3 Prizes:
amuzing / amazing
Banks are warning credit spreads could widen further as investors seek higher premiums to protect against the risk of default. Driving up the borrowing costs for corporates risks further slowing growth in a U.S. economy that some see as edging closer to a downturn.
Dow pops more than 650 points in relief bounce Friday
U.S. consumers are starting to crack as tariffs add to inflation, recession concerns
Engines can be modified to run on alcoholic beverages which are dirt cheap to make in Europe,.. pennies for a few gallons… So the question of running out of the crude oil in the world is a moot point.
But with a 200% tariff on alcoholic products from Europe then maybe Americans may need to pay 3 dollars per gallon at the pump all over again… alcohol is a clean burning fuel and to prove it just try burning a scotch whiskey without first adding ice.
OnlineBroker.Fr is the best resource for French language information on the best online trading platforms and crypto exchanges in France.
https://www.onlinebroker.fr
If you are just starting out with forex trading and you are still searching for an online trading platform to go with, then check out the top online trading platforms in review by business 24-7 Forex traders may find daytrading.com a powerful resource. In addition to the broker comparison tables, it also provides insight and strategy on short term, intraday forex trades.
You may find this useful U.K. Investors may find investing.co.uk a useful resource. In addition to the broker comparisons table, the site also provides detailed reviews, bonus information and strategy articles.
Current and potential Scandinavian currency traders will likely enjoy Valutahandel.se , a website about forex trading in Sweden.
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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