If EurChf can make it to around 9338 or so that could be a good spot for not only a sell side position but a timing mechanism for other pairs this morning. Price behavior in Swiss futures shows a non-committal condition. One might think Friday might present flows into Swiss and perhaps Yen on safe have precaution. Couple of thougthts.
Headline Alert
This just came out and stocks got hit, USDJPY fell sharply to test 154.
Source: Newsquawk.com
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
NVDA -2% as revenue growth slows, havens lifted by tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5Â things you need to know for today’s market.
5 Things You Need to Know
Equities generally modestly lower; NVDA -3% pre-market despite headline beats as Q4 guidance disappoints.
Ukraine’s airforce announced that Russia launched an ICBM, Ukrainian media specified it was a RS-26 missile; however, CNN reports that ICBM usage has not been confirmed.
Dollar is slightly firmer, JPY outperforms benefiting from the risk-aversion triggered by tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Bonds are benefiting from the geopolitical risk-premia into numerous central bank speakers.
Crude is firmer and resides just off session highs, gas outperforms & XAU bid whilst base metals are dented by the risk tone.
10:03 – “my puzzle in place to start the day”
THE puzzle …. is developing singular tactic gaming the market’s directional sentiment.
It can be boiled down to a simple equation
Market – 1 = your success (or failure)
basically, sniffing out a price point at which the market will take off in this or that direction and in what magnitude AND then jumping on OR fading it.
Successfully , naturally.
And then I look at a EURUSD chart, as EUR is oner of the underperfrormers.
Waht catches my eye here is a failure just above 1.0655. I also take a Look at a EURJPY chart and as alwats EURGBP to see what is driving the EURUSD.
EURUSD 1 HOUR CHART – 1.05 looms
Yet another run at 1.05 where support is at 1.0496-1.0506.
I ther look at currency charts where the action is.
When I see a sharp move in one direction in USDJPY there is generally an offset in another currency (in this case EUR and/or GBP)._
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART
What catches my eye is the break of 154.52 (suggests using 154.50)… use it as an intra-day bias indicator
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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