GBPUSD Weekly
–Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Major Support was violated last week, but pair closed above it
–Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â To continue Down it has to decisively break below and stays below
–          On the other hand – if this was a Correction , time wise it might be end of it
–         Cable tends to have sharp turns – so be aware
Supports : 1.25350 , 1.24850 & 1.23850
Resistances : 1.26050 , 1.26500 & 1.27150
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
U.S. Treasury yields slipped back on Monday after Wall Street money manager Scott Bessent got the nod to be the next Treasury Secretary, with markets hoping his take on tax cuts and tariffs may at least be sensitive to edgy investor concerns.
Ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday week, President-elect Donald Trump ended intense speculation over the Treasury pick late on Friday and put Bessent forward for the job.
Morning Bid: Treasuries rally on Bessent pick, dollar retreats
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
Stocks firm, USD pressured & USTs bid on Trump’s Treasury appointment
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4Â things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses & US futures begin the week on the front-foot, as markets welcome the nomination of Scott Bessent as Trump’s Treasury Secretary.
USD pressured and USTs bid following this, with the DXY sub-107.00 and the US yield curve bull-flattening FX peers generally benefit from the USD pressure, JPY outperformed overnight on favourable yield action and approval of Japanese stimulus
Crude in the red on Bessent, Israel-Lebanon and Iranian updates, Gas outperforms. XAU slipped below USD 2700/oz before recovering while base metals follow the tone though China performance capped
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XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART Â Â FIBOS
XAUUSD upside stalling as a better risk tone has eased some of the upside pressure.
Treating the retreat from the high as a retracement, here are FIBOS for 2537-2721 (note 38.2% is also the “:50” level) USING OUR fIBONACCI cALCULATOR
EURUSD 1 HOUR CHART Â MIND THE GAP
As I noted in this articleÂ
Markets tend to factor in the worst and hope for the best. This is certainly true for tariffs as what shape they turn out to be will have an impact on the dollar, bonds and other markets as well.
This was the case to start what is not a normal week due to the upcoming US Thanksgiving Day holiday as seen by the opening week gap higher.
Levels to watch are clear, 1.0449-1.0551.
This suggests a firm break oof 1.0450 would be need to expose the gap while a firm break of 1.0500 would suggest a greater squeeze on shorts.
Looking at this as a retracement, here are FIBOS for 1.0935=1.0332 USING OUR fIBONACCI cALCULATOR
THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
Germany’s Ifo business climate index is expected to decline slightly to 86.0 in November from 86.5 in October, indicating a modest drop in business morale. In the U.S., the S&P Case-Shiller house price index may show a slowdown in annual home price inflation, decreasing to 5.2% from 5.9%, while the FHFA house price index is projected to rise by 0.2% month-on-month. Consumer confidence is anticipated to improve in November, but new home sales are forecasted to decrease to an annual rate of 725,000 in October due to higher mortgage rates.
New Zealand’s Reserve Bank is likely to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points to 4.25% amid lower inflation and an economic slowdown. In the U.S., pending home sales are expected to drop by 1.8%, and Germany’s consumer price index is estimated to rise by 0.2% monthly and 2.3% annually in November.
In Japan, payrolls are projected to rise for the 27th consecutive month, with unemployment steady at 2.4%. Industrial production is forecasted to increase by 3.9% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year. The Eurozone’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices flash estimate for November is expected to show headline inflation at 2.3% and core inflation at 2.8%, up from the previous month.
Econoday
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https://www.onlinebroker.fr
If you are just starting out with forex trading and you are still searching for an online trading platform to go with, then check out the top online trading platforms in review by business 24-7 Forex traders may find daytrading.com a powerful resource. In addition to the broker comparison tables, it also provides insight and strategy on short term, intraday forex trades.
You may find this useful U.K. Investors may find investing.co.uk a useful resource. In addition to the broker comparisons table, the site also provides detailed reviews, bonus information and strategy articles.
Current and potential Scandinavian currency traders will likely enjoy Valutahandel.se , a website about forex trading in Sweden.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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