US 10-YR 4.30% +0.048 and “risk” uP
are incongruent.
One is and will be wrong.
It is early in the week and two tug-of-war elements will likely tug:
early tariff re-clarifications as trump and team “clarify” things and
players turning focus on last week’s FED’s stagflation bable and asessing related incoming reports this week.
US OPEN
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start!
Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.
5 Things You Need to Know
US President Trump reportedly plans his tariff ‘Liberation Day’ with a more targeted push, according to Bloomberg over the weekend.
STOXX 600 began the week on a firmer footing before trimming opening gains after a mixed APAC handover; EZ Flash PMIs were mixed and largely highlighted trade uncertainty.
DXY is lower after some choppy price action in early European trade. The macro narrative for the US has kicked the week off with a focus on the trade agenda.
USTs are lower amid the encouraging risk environment on account of weekend reporting over the Trump tariff agenda.
Crude prices are choppy. Benchmarks were lacklustre overnight amid the subdued risk appetite in Asia before trending higher in European hours; Precious and base metals hold mild upward biases.
T
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – In limbo
Chart still showing a downside risk that needs to take out 3038 to break the momentum… but only above 3047 would put the record 3057 high in play again
On the other side, the quick bounce Friday from 3000 suggests consolidation unless this level is taken out.
Range: 2999/3013 – 3038/3047/3057
For those that missed it, the following came out Friday and may have been a trigger for the XAUUSD sell off.
Robert “Bo” Hines, executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, said that if the move to sell some of the gold in Fort Knox to buy Bitcoin remained budget-neutral, it could be considered.
This is 10am Nigerian time and GOLD (XAU/USD) is at price 3028.97 and from my understanding of Price Action theory this is a set buy bias. Market is goung on a buy to around price range of 3032.69. It is going to be a slow climb up.
Market dropped to a low at price 3020.71 which is the lowest point it got to after market opeend early this morning. This buy (Bullish) movement might not continue for long. Let us take a few pips. A word is enough for the wise. Let’s use tight TP/SL and not risk more than 1-5% of our capital. A word is enough for the wise.
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
… week starting out in a risk on mood after Trump’s reciprocal tariff comments… As I have noted, while markets may react to the latest headline actions speak louder than words (April 2 is the reciprocal tariff day).
… the dollar is trading weaker but off earlier lows… exception is USDJPY but remains below 150
EURUSD came close but paused below 1.0860… See What is the trend in Forex Majors for coming week
EZ composite PMIs mixed (manufacturung up a touch (but below 50), Services down a touch (but above 50)… S
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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