There are a tone of sell orders at 163 EurJpy and 163.50 and 164 from larger entities I can see through correlations in futures and options contracts. If/when filled overshoot can happen and does not equate to failed entry, it becomes a matter patience. Some substantial developments would be required for 163.50 to be blown out and if so the pair would likely be targeting 166.   If 165 trades it would be prudent to consider the likelihood the more significant flows have turned to the buy side.
I was a CTA this is part of how you do it. Correlations count.
Unfortunately we are right in the middle of Yen flows at present, so this is where you look for which bias might conclude first, unless you have the guts to make a choice in the middle of flows and are very sure you are accurate.
So DX is pulling up off of lower zone parameters and is poised to scorch higher – which increase the odds UsdJpy pulls up before it goes south.
Your choice.
If you are not already long pairs vs Yen, there are decent odds it plays out this way .. Yen futures drop toward 006450 where decent conditions would warrant the sell side of Yen pairs and/or 006520 which is decent for the buy side of Yen pairs.
That equates to 155.50 and 153.50 UsdJpy. The power of 50 just happens to be in the mix this time and is not a constant.
I made note a couple of weeks ago for those of us who do not have much funds to work with but like stocks, that I have been on the buy side of a very low priced AI stock named OPEN. I just closed it at 2.18 if anyone was paying attention.
Will re-enter lower, may take a week or longer to get there.
Euro correlates well with some stock metrics and so I anticipate we should see 1.0550 at a minimum and more than likely 1.04 eventually.
In a neural perspective Euro has legs today against crosses that others do not. So one of a few component showing Euro is getting real flows. It is very unlikely to last and so I am patiently waiting to add on the sell side and 162.50 or higher EurJpy would be a kind gesture by the market.
I like the sell side of EurUsd from 0528 as a first area to scale and will scale in higher if seen. I think it requires something slightly abnormal to change the overall sell bias.
For me UsdJpy is in a broader uptrend, is in a minor sell cycle withing that broader trend, and so I prefer the sell side still (although I was on the buy side last night in Asia from well below the figure and departed the trade nearing 154.50) this morning from 154.50 area. I will most certainly be on the buy side on a good drop, and this activity represents the early stages of stabilization from below the figure.
I was talking with JP last night as I call him The Master of Opening Week Gaps.
I asked him about the EURUSDD gap.
Hew said gaps almost eventually get filled but saw a risk to 1.0550 first.
1.0550- coinmcides wiuth the 1.0545-55 area I highlighted earler (scroll below).
Meanwhile EURUSD has broken above 1.05, see now if it can hold as that will dicate whether 1.0450 or 1.0550 is at risk.
OnlineBroker.Fr is the best resource for French language information on the best online trading platforms and crypto exchanges in France.
https://www.onlinebroker.fr
If you are just starting out with forex trading and you are still searching for an online trading platform to go with, then check out the top online trading platforms in review by business 24-7 Forex traders may find daytrading.com a powerful resource. In addition to the broker comparison tables, it also provides insight and strategy on short term, intraday forex trades.
You may find this useful U.K. Investors may find investing.co.uk a useful resource. In addition to the broker comparisons table, the site also provides detailed reviews, bonus information and strategy articles.
Current and potential Scandinavian currency traders will likely enjoy Valutahandel.se , a website about forex trading in Sweden.
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
Forex Forum & Blog
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
Forex Forum & Blog
© 2024 Global View