EURUSD Daily
Supports : 1.05100 , 1.04650 & 1.04250
Resistances : 1.05500 , 1.05700 & 1.06100
Pattern wise : this is a possible situation of sharp turn Up – 1.06100 separates us from declaring it.
In case it works, target is in 1.07800 area.
If it fails to overcome 1.06100 , based on previous move’s angle – 1.01350 is what we’ll be seeing .
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
CAD & MXN hit by Trump’s tariff announcement, US futures impacted but are back in the green; FOMC minutes ahead
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top
5Â things you need to know for today’s market.
Trump announced he is to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% tariff on all products and will charge China ‘an additional 10% Tariff, above any additional Tariffs’.
European bourses in the red on the above, US futures initially pressured but have since made their way back to unchanged/marginally firmer
USD began on the back foot but has since retreated markedly, JPY outperforms while CAD is the G10 laggard
Fixed benchmarks in the red pulling back from Monday’s gains though did see a shortlived move higher on the tariff announcement
Crude firmer but action modest after recent ceasefire related pressure; Israel’s Cabinet set to meet at 15:30GMT/10:30EST to discuss this
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Any speculation that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump would adopt a ‘softly, softly’ approach to his trade and economic policies was jolted overnight as he warned of immediate tariff hikes on Canada, Mexico and China – hitting the currencies of all three.
Trump, who takes office on Jan. 20, said he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico on day one until these countries clamp down on drugs, particularly fentanyl, and undocumented migrants crossing the border. The move would appear to violate a free-trade deal with both countries that he negotiated during his first White House term.
Morning Bid: Trump tariff threat jolts Canadian dollar, peso, yuan
This is not a typical trading week as explained in the following
What to Expect in the Thanksgiving Day Trading Week
USDJPY 1 HOUR CHART – Tight range but for how long?
Range tightening to around 153.80-154.20 suggests 154 will be pivotal in setting its day tone.
While below 155 upside is likely limited but to suggest pressure building on the downside 153.55 and 153.23 would need to be broken.
Continue to keep an eye on US bond yields (lower this week to see if there is a correlation.
EURUSD 1 HOUR CHART – GAP FILLED
If you go strictly by the book, opening week gap filled and then a rebound
If you were trading in the heat of battle, the move back above 1.05 was a head scratcher.
In any case, 1.05 should continue to be the bias setter, only a break of 1.0530 would suggest more to this head scratching rebound.
Back below 1.0470 would shift risk back to 1.0425-50
I just closed sell side positions of EurJpy, EurUsd, AudUsd, UsdSingapore, and a buy side UsdChf right here, and a sell EurGbp all in the money.  These levels as I type are areas where I believe there may be adjustment flows and so it is back to a game of patience. Prefer buy side of US Dollar and the sell side of everything else so a matter of waiting for these markets to rebalance a bit.
Had a sell USdPeso but did not fill, not confident we see decent re-entry levels until tomorrow.
Honor the Dollar.
This article is worth revisitimg during this US holiday thinned week
Time should be a factor you consider when trading and when ignored, it will leave you at the mercy of the market. What I mean by that is that you can put yourself in a position where your options are to take on more risk than you are willing to take if you ignore the time factor when trading.
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https://www.onlinebroker.fr
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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