This may sound a bit ridiculous to some but I largely operate on a sine wave basis since I have a military background using sine waves to tune weapons systems and have been able to (somewhat) redesign algorithms to reasonably match it. You would be surprised how similar markets move in that fashion.
At present Euro is right in the middle of an intermediate wave and so it would be a roll of the dice either direction here. And since the Eurozone is under reconstruction fundamentally I definitely prefer the sell side on pull ups.
UsdSingapore and UsdHong Kong are laboring and I believe it is due to money flowing into US stocks and out of Bonds since institutions expectedly took their shot in that one last week. For now.
Although Usd is laboring against those cross pairs I am not seeing carryover into EurGbp or EurChf like there is in the majors and so am not yet enthused about the buy side there. Would need to see more. Money is flowing into those two but the horizon is under pressure.
SO FAR entering the week. I like Australian Dollar, Sterling, to a lesser extent Swiss Franc, and depending on a few things Euro on dips but my preferred side with that one still is the sell side. The buy side of Yen pairs is the best for me entering the week. UsdChf is bottoming in likelihood, but there could be another little stop run downhill prior from here.
EURUSD 5 MINUTE AMAZING TRADER CHART
You can see why EURUSD was sewtup to back dowqn… but in a range as long as 1.0561 holds as support (same support on a 15 minute chart)… below 1.0561 is 1.0556 and the 1,0550 magnet
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
A seemingly robust U.S. employment report did little to dissuade markets that another Federal Reserve interest rate is coming this month, and China added to the easy money mix on Monday in a historic change of monetary stance.
With the European Central Bank, Swiss National Bank and Bank of Canada among the major central banks expected to ease policy again this week, markets remain buoyant and Wall Street futures hover near their latest records.
Morning Bid: Fed cut gets baked in, China shifts monetary stance
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
China’s Politburo sparks risk-on sentiment, but gains in equities have faded
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.
5 Things You Need to Know
European bourses initially gained, taking impetus from positive commentary via the Chinese Politburo; upside which has since faded. US equity futures are mixed.
China’s Politburo says next year must seek progress while maintaining stability; China’s fiscal policy to be more proactive next year. Monetary policy is to be moderately loose, via Xinhua.
Dollar is at incremental session lows; Antipodeans benefit from the positive sentiment, whilst havens lag.
Bonds were initially weighed on from the Politburo read-out, but now off worst levels; USTs a touch lower whilst European paper is slightly higher.
Commodities benefit from the risk tone sparked by the positive commentary from the Chinese Politburo.
THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
On Tuesday, Australia’s RBA is expected to hold rates steady, with no changes likely until February or May. Germany’s CPI is forecast unchanged at -0.2% monthly and +2.2% annually, with HICP at -0.7% monthly and +2.4% annually.
Wednesday, US CPI is projected at +0.3% monthly and +2.7% annually, with core CPI steady at +0.3% and +3.3% annually. This keeps Fed expectations split between a 25 bp cut and no action. Canada’s BOC is expected to cut rates, likely by 50 bp, reflecting weak data and rising unemployment.
Japan’s PPI is estimated at +3.4% annually, driven by rice shortages and reduced utility subsidies. The BOJ may raise its overnight rate to 0.5% at its Dec. meeting.
Thursday, Australia’s labor report forecasts a 25K job gain, with unemployment ticking to 4.2%. UK GDP is expected at +0.2% in October. The ECB is likely to cut rates by 25 bp amid downside risks, while US PPI is forecast at +0.3% monthly and +2.6% annually.
Econoday
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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