USDCAD 15 MINUTE – Defense?
This amazing Trader chart is too neat not to post it.
Double top at 1.4195 suggests there may be a defense oif the 1.42 (options?) level.
An aspect of price behavior I am perpetually dialed in on is what kind of valuations the market is presenting in the US session. Some weeks there are very good price levels presented and other weeks the optimum levels are presented in the European session, and at times the Asian session.
Two weeks ago there were optimum valuations presented in the US session all week long and your precision could be near perfection. Last week the condition remained good but was not optimum. So far this week the levels presented are gone before the US session.
Your participation has to take that into consideration. How do you approach that? Patience.
The next near term cycle for Sterling, Yen, Aussie, Euro, Peso, and Franc futures should be the buy side. The level of conviction on that side I would not expect to be overly robust.
Yen is a bit different. The BOJ interest rate decision is on December 19th. Japanese 10yr rates are now sitting at early July highs and after attempting to go higher stalled at the same spot on November 11th.
So if it stalls here again that is three stalls. One might think this is the tail end of pricing in and reaction to the last action by the BOJ.
Therefore calling a bottom in Yen futures (buy side top of spot pairs) is a bit dicey since the rates could drop and Yen futures with it.
USDCAD 30 MINUTE – BID AHEAD OF BOC
With the BoC expected to cut rates by 50bps tomorrow, it should not be a surprise to see USDCAD trading with a bid.
The surprise was yesterday’s brief retracement that found supoport below 1.41.
The high set earlier at 1.4195 is key resistance although 1.42 is likely even more important with 1.4661, a 5-year high as the major level.
On the downside, 1.4150-57 needs hold to keep the bid.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Helped by a backup in U.S. Treasury yields, the dollar has rediscovered its mojo ahead of a wave of overseas interest rate cuts this week, with China’s markets giving only a hesitant welcome to Beijing’s new policy orientation.
Morning Bid: Dollar reasserts strength, China fillip fades
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
European equities tilt lower, USD gains & AUD lags after RBA’s dovish hold
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses are mostly on the backfoot; US futures trade indecisively around the unchanged mark.
USD outmuscles peers, AUD lags after the RBA delivered a dovish hold.
Choppy trade for European paper, US awaits 3yr supply.
Crude edges slightly lower and base metals pare back recent strength.
Using my platform as a heatmap
USD is up as market seems to be biding its time ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI
EURUSD still within 1.05-1.06 where Power of 1.0550 sets the bias
USDJPY found support above 150.77… needs to stay above 151.21 to keep a strong bid but t52 a potential obstacle
GBPUSD lagging… note weeaker EURGBP
USDCAD broke its 1.4178 key high but so far not following through
AUDUSD an underperformer (NZDUSD as well), falling after RBA but holding above Monday’s .6372 low
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With EURUSD trading at 1.0550…
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My Favorite Trading Secret: The Power of the “50” Level
EURUSD Daily
Supports : 1.05250 , 1.04600 & 1.04200
Resistances: 1.05950 , 1.06300 & 1.06950
Close tonight above 1.05550 would give another chance to EUR to push it Up.
Below 1.05400 things are going to start being quite unpleasant for EUR Bulls, but until 1.05250 taken out, it can still go back Up.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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