There is enough data this week to keep the market on its toes culminating with US PCE on Friday that coincides with quarter/month end.
The initial focus should be on USDJPY after it closed within spitting distance of 160 and the 160.16 high. I am not in the BoJ’s shoes but if I am serious about defending 160 I would let the market run through the high and then come in hard with intervention. However, this plays out, 159-50-160.00 is going to be the nervous zone.
A key event will be Thursday’s Biden-Trump debate where the focus will likely be more on performance than substance and mental fitness to hold office for both candidates. At this stage it is hard to gauge which candidate would be better or worse for markets in a race that seems filled with more negatives than positives.
This all comes ahead of Sunday’s first round of French elections where logic says should put a limit on the EURUSD upside ahead of it.
This week has been a good visual for gradual liquidity builds in one direction and sudden and done reversals in a straight line then stall (they got their money). Call it “Loonie” but I like Canadian Dollar and often Aussie on Fridays.
France’s left is proposing a “vast” tax and spend program to fix the countries finances. So they foul it up, take your money again, and spend your money again. Sound