JP// January 31, 2025 at 1:21 pm #18807
JP// January 30, 2025 at 10:45 pm #18774
If Trump doesn’t put the tariff on oil imports then those exporter countries will levy export tax on their oil exports… so in that way exporter countries make many gains… but then what would happen if those countries tax their oil exports and USA places tariff’s on the imported oil. Then what?
US500 4 HOUR CHART –    What’s the ugly word?
Just when it looked like US500 was setting up for a run at the record high, tariff news cut it short.
Now it is dependent on 6000-20 holding to keep the bid in what was looking like a goldilocks market => tame bond yields, growing but not overheating economy. Watch bonds now that ugly word, tariffs, is  likely to become a reality rather than a threat.
We are back waiting for the Feb 1 Trump tariff threat deadline after a news whipsaw to end the month.
As I have been noting, actions speak louder than words and latest report that tariffs will be going into effect on Feb 1 should, at a minimum, provide a floor under USDCAD.
Key levels:
1.45 => sets the tone
1.4595 => This week’s spike high that guards exposing MAJOR 5 YEAR HIGH AT 1.4661…
Budget 2025: Focus on growth and fiscal consolidation
The street expects Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman to walk the path of fiscal prudence as she readies to deliver her eighth consecutive Union Budget on February 1
The street expects the upcoming Union Budget to signal policy continuity for fiscal prudence even as it aims to revive the animal spirits of the economy. Economists and analysts believe the budget announcements will be centEred around the fiscal consolidation path outlined by the government but are likely to continue with the subsidies announced earlier with a continued focus on increasing the outlay for capital expenditure.
This is about 5pm Nigerian time and the USD/JPY is looking good for a buy. The market went to the lowest point at 154.504which is a support area as there was a previous low at that level a few hours ago. Market has risen ever since and is at 154.813 currently. Identical candles in opposite directions are seen forming at the hourly chart.
This fortells a continuation pattern of a buy. New candles usually follow the last candle and head in same direction.
This is what is currently occuring now and price is going towards 155.040 for a few pips before i relax and see if i will find another opportunity to re enter the market.
As i ussally say, don’t overtrade. Just go in for a 2:1 risk / reward ratio and dont trade more than 2-5% of your Account. Slow and steady wins the race, be careful.
Thanks,
TOPNINE.
Budget 2025 speech date and time: When and where to watch
The Budget Session of the Parliament commenced on Friday with a Presidential address by Droupadi Murmu. The session will be conducted in two parts – the first will commence on January 31 and conclude on February 13 while the second part will begin on March 10 and end on April 4.