A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
After a four-day guessing game and much financial turbulence, the United States and China appear to have resumed a tit-for-tat trade war while Mexico and Canada get at least a month to breathe – leaving markets somewhat punchdrunk and wary of next steps.
US equity futures modestly lower, Crude softer, Bonds and USD await tariff updates
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.
5 Things You Need to Know
New 10% tariffs on China exports to the US have taken effect; China is to levy countermeasures on some US imported products with 15% tariffs on coal and LNG, as well as 10% tariff on oil, agricultural machines and some autos from the US.
European bourses trade tentatively, Tech buoyed by strength in Infineon; US futures are modestly lower.
DXY is flat, JPY underperforms, unwinding the prior day’s strength, and Antipodeans lag.
Bonds pullback but remain above Monday’s lows as we await tariff updates from US/China.
Crude softer amid Canada/Mexico tariff delays and China tariff retaliation.
Hong Kong CNN
Beijing announced a broad package of economic measures targeting the United States on Tuesday, hitting back after US President Donald Trump imposed 10% tariffs on Chinese imports.
The fresh duties, announced by China’s Ministry of Finance, levy a 15% tax on certain types of coal and liquefied natural gas and a 10% tariff on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement cars and pickup trucks. The measures take effect on February 10.
It feels like the day after a quick moving storm raced through my town with only damage to those caught in its swirling winds.
With Canada and Mexico getting a one month reprieve, focus was on targeted tariffs announced by China in retaliation to the U.S. levies.
FX shrugged off an initial pop in the dollar while US stocks remain down on the day.
Next up on the tariff hit list is the EU. While EURUSD is holding its bounce, there is a headline risk at any time if Trump’s attention shifts to the EU.
EURUSD has filled its opening week gap at 1.0350, also the bias setter, and only above it would suggest more legs to its rebound.
I would like to say charts matter but in a news driven market they take a back seat ti the latest headline.
Charts, meanwhile, show the freefall paused above key support. It now needs to fill the gap and beyond at 21382 (came close) to ease the risk or the downside.
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