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[GVI Forex 2]

I said earlier see if USDJpY correlates with falling bond yields… 10-year last at 4.533%… USDJPY 153.13

[GVI Forex 2]

USDCAD DAILY CHART – BREAKDOWN

Move through 1.5261 creates an outside month and stays bearish while below it.

On the downside, there is a void so look at 1,42 as the level that will dictate whether there is more scope to the move.

[GVI Forex 2]

How about that…looked like a delayed reaction but appears Newsquawkand then my post beat some of the newswires… thank you Newsquawk

[GVI Forex 2]

Another headline, tempers tariff angst… dollar dips. stocks blip

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

CAD is not showing much tariff concern

[Mtl JP]

GVI 2:05 – so some instruments will rise in price and therefore others decline (on relative basis)

a matter of making right trading choices

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD 4h

What it means that EURUSD was rejected at 1.04400

I have mentioned last night 1.04450 as an important level that separates EUR from surging higher ( always take few pips up or down in consideration as I am trying to give you an insight way earlier , so levels are moving slightly with every passed hour )

We have now following supports:

1.03650 & 1.03400

If later one is lost, road would be open to 1.02100

Resistances are at: 1.04400 & 1.04700

The angle of this Support line below is one that usually comes during corrections and not Overall Direction – so this might be just a correction prior to continuation of the downtrend.

[GVI Forex 2]

All eyes will be on Trump and this long awaited annpuncement

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART –Sell order done

Whatever order(s) drove the JPY down seem to be over and now USDJPY is dependent of 153.20 holding to contain the downside.

Watch US bond yields (lower today) to see if correlation continues

[GVI Forex 2]

Bond yiekds dip despite data…

[GVI Forex 2]

Fed: Current market pricing

29 bps in rate cuts priced in, first cut in December

[GVI Forex 2]

On deck

US PPI and Weekly Jobless Ckaims

See our Economic Data Calendar

[Mtl JP]

here monkey monkey … a wrench:

WSJ – “President Trump is poised to unveil reciprocal tariffs on nations that put levies on U.S. exports
Last Updated: Feb. 13, 2025 at 7:30 AM EST

[GVI Forex 2]

More from Trump… Market dilemma, what to focus on Tariffs vs peace?

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

Headlines are starting early… Kudos to Newsquawk for reporting this ahead of newswires

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

NEWSQUAWK US OPEN

Crude subdued with continued focus on geopolitics, USD lower into PPI & Executive Orders

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.

5 Things You Need to Know

US President Trump did not sign reciprocal tariffs order on Wednesday after stating that he may, while the White House schedule showed President Trump is to sign executive orders on Thursday at 13:00EST/18:00GMT.

Stocks mostly firmer on constructive geopolitical updates; US futures are mixed ahead of PPI.

USD softer as markets weigh potential Ukraine peace deal and lack of reciprocal tariffs (so far).
Bonds attempt to recoup CPI-driven losses into PPI though geopols is capping.

Crude continues the Russia/Ukraine downside seen in the prior session; reports suggested

Israel/Hamas had come to an understanding, but this was subsequently denied by Israeli PM Netanyahu’s Office.

Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Talks to end the Ukraine war have partly cut across the hot U.S. inflation report for world markets, reining in both oil prices and capping aggravated U.S. borrowing rates – while also lifting the euro and European shares.

Morning Bid: Peace and prices – inflation vies with Ukraine talks

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART- OBSTACLES TO 1.05

1.0442 and 1.0468 stand in the way of 1.05

Keeps a bid as long as it trades above 1.0377.

We will see if this just restores a 2-way risk or has more legs to it (e.g. above 1.95)

 

[GVI Forex 2]

US 19 year backing away from 4.65% (last 4.60%) has eased uoward peressure on UsDJPY… which needs to gold above 153.20 to contain the downside.

[GVI Forex 2]

It is rare that we like toi give ourselves credit but I poated this article nearly 3 weeks ago and it took time for the markets to catch up to my puzzle.

Is the Trump Effect Impacting the EURUSD and the DAX?

Here is a question? Why has the EURUSD recovered and DAX at record levels given the risk of Trump tariffs. prospect of lower interest rates, an underperforming German economy and political uncertainty in Germany (and France)?

[Author]

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