SF I concur. Feb high has good odds of being tested BUT
I d bee needing to see spreads or rates go higher to see the puppy go beyond that
so conditionl and subject to incoming data at that time
JP – I’m thinking 105 due to slight deterioration of risk appetite across markets. Commodities, stocks, Euro, even Usd a pinch. Looks like if 104 survives Monday its 105ish.
When looking at CFDs, remember that different brokers quote different symbols (e.g. NDX00 vs NAS00) and even with the same symbols there can be different price feeds between brokers,
So, look at the chart pattern on this chart rather than the price level as the red line needs to hold after another high yesterday to give a whiff that the retreat could turn into a deeper retracement.
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The failure to test 1.0945 has seen EURUSD retreat in line with a firmer USD.
The key chart support, as I noted yesterday, is 1.0795 but the magic 1.08 level is probably equally important as it will dictate the tone going forward.
On the upside back above the broken 1.0831, at a minimum, would be needed to ease the risk to 1.08.
The old trading adage that it’s the reaction to news more than the news itself that matters held true in the GBPUSD as it took another leg down after dovish comments from BOE Bailey in an FT article. Price moves (note firmer EURGBP as well) underscore how interest rate cut expectations are driving these markets.
I had to go to the daily chart to find potential support levels on the downside, So far, an AT support at 1.2578 is holding, below it there is one level ahead of the pivotal 1.25.
Hard to chase after a big move but it trades soft below the lower end of intra-day resistance is at 1.2645-75,.
Take a look at the 2 blue AT lines on the daily chart, the failure to test the 2nd line, and how the risk turned to the downside.
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