“We forecast a 0.29% rise in headline CPI, reflecting higher energy (+0.7%) and food (+0.2%) prices. Our forecasts would lower the year-on-year rates to 3.70% for the core and 3.37% for the headline,” Goldman Sachs note
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
As Wall Street nervously awaits the March consumer price inflation report, the commodity complex – buoyed by an improving global growth outlook – adds another complication to the interest rate picture.
opinion as a forecast …
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“We forecast a 0.29% rise in headline CPI, reflecting higher energy (+0.7%) and food (+0.2%) prices. Our forecasts would lower the year-on-year rates to 3.70% for the core and 3.37% for the headline,” Goldman Sachs
As I have noted several times, moves outside 1.35-1.36 have lacked follow-through.
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This has been the case once again as USDCAD has followed the generally weaker USD after the reaction to a stringer US jobs report did not follow through.
As the chart shows, the key focus is on 1.3550, which is not only the midpoint of 1.35-1.36 but also a powerful sentiment indicator,’
While the forex market treads water ahead of Wednesday’s US CPI report, XAUUSD has scored another record high, moving just above Friday’s high (2354) and again disappointing those trying to pick a top
As I noted yesterday, XAUUSD needed to hold above 2330 to keep the high at risk and the result has been a fresh run at the upside.
As I also noted, I had no interest in suggesting the high was in despite what looked like an exhaustion high on Friday. .
With that said, the new high is the only key resistance on a chart and 2350 becomes pivotal in setting the day tone. Only a move below 2336 would suggest the potential for a pause.