Consumers’ bad feelings about a good economy shouldn’t be ignored, Boston Fed President says
Published: April 14, 2024
In a conversation with MarketWatch, Susan Collins says she is wary of a negative self-fulfilling prophecy among pessimistic Americans
The week is starting out with some relief that geopolitical risks have not escalated further. It is like trying to pick up the pieces after a hurricane or tsunami hits your town.
This leaves EURUSD consolidating where 1.0650 seems to be pivotal with no key nearby resistance.
Risk is still pointed down but would need to take out 1.0622 to build further momentum.
Given the one-way move down, use FIBO levels to give some order to the price action using our
No better-than-mixed results are expected for Tuesday’s sweep of Chinese data headlined by an expected 4.9 percent year-over-year rate for first-quarter GDP. This would mark slight slowing from 5.2 percent in the first quarter. Monthly data on both industrial production and retail sales are also expected to slow.
The week opens with a busy Monday that will include Japanese machinery orders and Eurozone industrial production and will be highlighted by US retail sales which are expected to once again be solid. UK consumer prices expected to continue to fall in data for Wednesday…Econoday
Swiss FRANK 11:26 // On this fresh new day …
The joker in the deck: IF the wardogs such as bibi, bolton or gantz prevail over biden who tells “Netanyahu Israel should not retaliate against Iran” and do retaliate AND widen a military conflict AND Iran shuts down its oil AND straight of hormuz AND starts to bomb israel’s own oil n gas production AND sea port terminals AND somehow hutis get to fly their puppies over saudi arabia … the US starts to rapidly see $100 – 150 – + oil AND ration diesel …
can you see some investment opportunities ?
and … it would not surprise me IF “authorities” would come out with furious commentaries about unjustified profits and even start to talk about clawbacks
My Take: I wouldn’t go with momentum / break away moves based on the Middle East ‘escalation’. I in fact wouldn’t even call it an escalation. If anything Iran is ‘playing ball’.
1. They pre-announced the response 48 hours in advance.
2. They lob in a few fly balls that knowing would be caught.
3. They did what they had to do that was the next softest response from no response.
4. If they wanted to RETALIATE, they clearly could have with a lot more anger.
5. IF there is a risk on any extension of the break aways (if there are) it would be with respect to the JPY and the MoF taking advantage of an already falling object…
Iran has seized a container ship near the Strait of Hormuz with 25 crew members on board. According to Iranian state media, the vessel is managed by a company linked to an Israeli businessman
Jp thank you. Don’t recall if I posted this Thursday night from my colleagues: … “the Gold Option Profile has inverted to sell side for the first time since the Feb 14 low; selling June Gold futures above 2400 to test the market.”
Author
Posts
Viewing 20 posts - 9,641 through 9,660 (of 11,680 total)