1.08300 is the barrier between Bullish and Bearish, so I have no idea…do not have a crystal ball, and my cat doesn’t want to cooperate with hints and tips…
Pattern wise – it can be both ways – we need additional development to say for sure.
Anyhow, tests of supports are needed to seal the Up deal.
243 from 303 is a marginal drop … 19.8%
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maybe it is marginal.
but players are likely to re-price whatever size deviation from the 243 expectation may print
U.S. non-farm payrolls are forecast to have risen 243,000 last month, only marginally cooler than the 303,000 added in March. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.8%, while annual average earnings growth is seen cooling to 4.0%.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
The strength of the U.S. labor market will give Wall Street’s interest rate relief a reality check on Friday, but Apple’s (AAPL.O), opens new tab monster share buyback has buoyed the market in advance.
according to market nurse jeff cox at cnbc
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* Nonfarm payrolls are expected to show a gain of 240,000 for the month, according to the Dow Jones consensus that also sees the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.8%.
* The labor market has been full of surprises this year, topping Wall Street estimates at a time when many economists expected hiring to have slowed down.
* Markets also will be closely watching the wage numbers.
Barring a surprise in today’s US data, EURUSD seems set to break an 8-day pattern around 1.07 (similar GBPUSD 6-day pattern around 1,25), which would suggest a shift in directional risk to the upside.
This suggests EURUSD will likely find support on dips as long as 1.07 does not trade, a stronger bid if 1.0735 can become support.
On the upside, a firm break of 1.0753-57 would be needed to put 1.08 in play (note there is little on charts then until a 1.0850 trendline and 1.0884)
On UsdChf the only real barriers to the market possibly finding value toward 9000 re at 9065, 9040, and 9020 or so. Decent template for ones individual risk tolerance or goals.