A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
An event-packed but shortened week stateside kicks off the second half of 2024, with European markets rallying on Monday as the first round of French assembly elections points to a hung parliament and policy gridlock.
Market following the path of least resistance selling JPY on its crosses, where there is less chance of intervention (note, EURJPY is the big winner today).
How do we know that there have been cross flows going on?
EUR (=0.41%0 and JPY (-0.21%) moved in the opposite directions vs. the USD.
As for USDJPY, as I noted previously, while above 160, potential highs are 162 => 164.50 => 165 as the debate is what is the new MOF/BOJ line in the sand.
While charts show only signs of a pause, not a top, the threat of intervention is enough to keep trading cautious.
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee
European markets are poised for a strong start to the second half of the year after the first round of voting in France put the far-right National Rally (RN) party ahead, but with a smaller share than some polls had projected, lifting the euro to a two-week high.
POLITICS and EURO
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Far-right enjoys massive win in French parliamentary elections
France’s foremost far-right leader Marine Le Pen declared ‘Democracy has spoken!’ after her National Rally party secured more than 33% of the popular vote tonight.
The results pave the way for France electing its first far-right government since the Second World War.
Incumbent president Emmanuel Macron’s Rennaissance/Together Coalition, meanwhile, appears to have been trailing at just 22%, which could well mean an absolute majority for Le Pen’s party. … ..
PARIS, June 30 (Reuters) – Here’s how the second round of France’s parliamentary election on July 7 will work and the possible scenarios after exit polls showed Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) party had won Sunday’s first round.