Hard to say whether this was a news algo reaction that ran stops or more to it. I am far from an expert on German politics but assumed a financial deal would eventually be reached.
As always it is the reaction that matters.
EURUSD pops on this headline
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As I have noted, when you see a sharp mkve in USDFJPY while others either lag or diverge, look for the offset currency.
IN this case, it appears to have been in AUD and NZD ad well as into EUR although a firmer EURGBP may be giving EURUSD some support.
Life in a mutti-currency centric (as opposed to a dollar-centric) trading world..
Worth reading during this lull… Looks like we are in Phase 2
This is a timely blog article worth your attention
How you can navigate the current market chaos
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – Â Â Â Following stocks
Main mover today but faces resistance at this week’s 149.19 high and 149.33, which block the pivotal 150 level.
It has been pretty much one-way since 147.85 so only minor levels withing 148-149.
Otherwise watch any reaction to Trump tariff headlines and how stocks trade (note day is still young)
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
TGIF after another Trump tariff headline roulette driven week
USDJPY seems to be following firmer stocks while the dollar is mixed elsewhere
Gold continues shine and within spitting distance of 3000
Looking ahead
Another headline news watch
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
It looks like a US government shutdown will be averted.
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NAS100 4 HOUR CHART –Clinging to life
The failure to at least regain 20000 keeps NAS100 on the defensive and clinging to life just aboive the 19110 low.
Below 19000 there is a void until the lower 18000s.
Only back 20000 would deflect the risk.
US500 4 HOUR CHART – NEW LOW
Trump’s hardline tariff rhetoric plus risk of a government shutdown saw the dead cat correction bounce setup a new low.
5500 is one of those key psychological levels that needs to hold or open a void on the downside.
Back above 5600, at a minimum is needed to slow the risk.
Opendoor Technologies Inc.- OPEN
Open is slightly bouncing off the support at 1.08
If it is going to start Up, it is going to be fast and sharp.
On the down side there is 0.92 waiting….
XAUUSD 4h
Resistance at 2985.00 holds its ground for now.
Supports move to 2965.00 & 2950.00
Unless we see a correction towards these supports, I don’t see a reasonable trade right now.
There is one possibility – for Gold to hold above 2980.00 overnight and continue straight up tomorrow – high risk trade.
EURUSD 4h
Pattern proved right – as always – leg down.
Now in real trading, there are few rules while following these type of patterns:
–         Trade is active only during the given bar – no extensions or variations
–         Whatever profit is seen has to be taken – no hopes , no dreams
Now we have seen here 20 pips of profit, but seems like market has stopped for now.
Personally I take what I get – there is always another one to trade.
There is around hour and half left, but late in game….this is not exactly a good timing for trade.
If everything stays like it is right now till next bar, we’ll have another pattern , but one that gives bad probabilities : 50-50
That is because we don’t have a down trend, but a correction, so question is when is it going to turn up again….
This was just a real time example 😀
If someone can explain why Canada, the closest US ally, has become the enemy
Pattern recognition 😀
In about 10 min this bar will close and new one opens.
Close has to be below 1.08700
Based on my patterns, next move should be Down.
At least it should reach around 1.08350
Stop must be above 1.08850.
XAUUSD – Gold
March 11. : This is starting to look like a very nice Bullish Formation.
All time high at 2956.29 Â in my opinion is not going to stop it this time
So here we are….2980.00 New High and resistance at the same time.
If Gold manages above it today/tomorrow, we’ll have a rally straight to 3100.00 ( 3090.00 to be exact)
Supports: 2950.00, 2935.00 & 2905.00
Recird high for gold…. smashes through 2956…puts 4000 on the radar… safe haven floiws as stocks sakide
In our blog
Why do markets hate uncertainty?
Markets hate economic uncertainty. While it creates volatility, it is often not the good kind.
euro 1.0867 3x visit on the 5 min anxiety moment for euro short