A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Wall Street futures have found their feet after Friday’s exaggerated market reaction to an otherwise middling employment report – with Apple’s new iPhone and Tuesday’s presidential candidates’ debate next up on the radar.
The failure to hold above it and retest the high suggests a lack of power but only a break of 1.3087 would suggest more to the downside. Above 1.3087 it is still in a consolidation mode.
• Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that she believes the U.S. economy is healthy and that recent months of cooler jobs data is a signal of a soft landing, not a recession.
• Yellen said the U.S. is not seeing meaningful layoffs and the economy is “deep into a recovery.”
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sought to reassure the public on Saturday that the U.S. economy remains strong, despite a string of weak job reports that have rattled investors and weighed on the stock market.
“We’re seeing less frenzy in terms of hiring and job openings, but we’re not seeing meaningful layoffs,” “I’m attentive to downside risk now on the employment side, but what I think we’re seeing, and hope we will continue to see, is a good, solid economy.” – Yellen said at the Texas Tribune Festival in Austin
And all clowns at the festival laughed so hard they rolled on the floor and some in the mud outside
There’s no doubt among forecasters that the European Central Bank will cut its deposit rate by 25 basis points at its Thursday announcement, a move that could take second billing in the week’s events should Wednesday’s US CPI report miss expectations. August’s CPI is expected to cool to 2.6 from 2.9 percent though the core rate is seen holding steady at 3.2 percent. Cooler-than-expected results could heat up talk of a 50-basis-point cut at the Federal Reserve’s September 18 announcement while higher-than-expected results would likely settle expectations at 25 points.
Chinese merchandise trade will open the week on Saturday local time with only a modest narrowing in the country’s surplus expected. Monthly UK GDP on Wednesday is expected to show marginal growth while US consumer sentiment on Friday, in what will be the first indication for September, is expected to remain flat.
After whipsaw trading following a weaker US jobs report, the market has to pick up the pieces after a tough end to the week where it ended in a risk off mood led by the sell-off in stocks..
In the week ahead, the focus will be on equity markets to set the risk mood….