Puts are in charge in Loonie. If flows remain consistent it won’t last very long. Significant levels just below market in futures and options. If it holds then UsdCad is going down again. The problem is this is a very strong risk off environment so a bit dicey. No one in their right mind is happy with the economic data coming out or trust the figures are truthful/accurate and there is significant GEO and political risk which began pricing in last week in general.
While EURGBP ha been helping to drive GBPUSD down, the biggest move has been in GBPJPY.’
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Charts show little below the market so use 1.2850 and 1.2800 a potential supports.
Yen futures and options could well dip a little again from here but overall they are going up and Usd/Jpy should remain under pressure overall, you just have to pick a good spot if not already in.
Euro and a few other pairs are moving contrary to US stocks and data, much of that is almost surely due to month end adjustments as pointed out by Jay of Global View in here yesterday.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Cloudy outlooks from U.S. megacaps Microsoft and Meta combined with edgy government bond markets around the world to unsettle investors on Thursday, with the latest U.S. opinion polls showing next week’s presidential election is no foregone conclusion.
The week’s deluge of events and data releases continued apace overnight – shaded earnings beats from the latest two of the ‘Magnificent Seven’ firms, a Bank of Japan policy rate hold and a crumb of comfort for Chinese manufacturing. Morning Bid: Megacaps spooked, world bonds on edge
DLRx 103.87
10-yr 4.294
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Thursday morning: the personal consumption expenditures price index for September. This also happens to be the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.
This PCE reading, along with Friday’s October payrolls report, will inform the Fed’s interest rate decision on Nov. 7 when it ends its two-day policy meeting.
— brian evans, cnbc
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