A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
U.S. Treasury yields slipped back on Monday after Wall Street money manager Scott Bessent got the nod to be the next Treasury Secretary, with markets hoping his take on tax cuts and tariffs may at least be sensitive to edgy investor concerns.
Ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday week, President-elect Donald Trump ended intense speculation over the Treasury pick late on Friday and put Bessent forward for the job.
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4Â things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses & US futures begin the week on the front-foot, as markets welcome the nomination of Scott Bessent as Trump’s Treasury Secretary.
USD pressured and USTs bid following this, with the DXY sub-107.00 and the US yield curve bull-flattening FX peers generally benefit from the USD pressure, JPY outperformed overnight on favourable yield action and approval of Japanese stimulus
Crude in the red on Bessent, Israel-Lebanon and Iranian updates, Gas outperforms. XAU slipped below USD 2700/oz before recovering while base metals follow the tone though China performance capped
Markets tend to factor in the worst and hope for the best. This is certainly true for tariffs as what shape they turn out to be will have an impact on the dollar, bonds and other markets as well.
Ok I’m in on that UsdJpy buy side trade literally exactly where I said I wanted it in the earlier post. I am thinking it challenges 54.50 or higher at least. Perfect execution that time.
Germany’s Ifo business climate index is expected to decline slightly to 86.0 in November from 86.5 in October, indicating a modest drop in business morale. In the U.S., the S&P Case-Shiller house price index may show a slowdown in annual home price inflation, decreasing to 5.2% from 5.9%, while the FHFA house price index is projected to rise by 0.2% month-on-month. Consumer confidence is anticipated to improve in November, but new home sales are forecasted to decrease to an annual rate of 725,000 in October due to higher mortgage rates.
New Zealand’s Reserve Bank is likely to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points to 4.25% amid lower inflation and an economic slowdown. In the U.S., pending home sales are expected to drop by 1.8%, and Germany’s consumer price index is estimated to rise by 0.2% monthly and 2.3% annually in November.
In Japan, payrolls are projected to rise for the 27th consecutive month, with unemployment steady at 2.4%. Industrial production is forecasted to increase by 3.9% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year. The Eurozone’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices flash estimate for November is expected to show headline inflation at 2.3% and core inflation at 2.8%, up from the previous month.