Selling EurJpy is working very well. I can find no fundamental reason to buy that pair for now. It has made me over 500 points since Sunday. It requires patience. That said, the sell wave is almost at the point where there is a rebalance in markets to the upside. It won’t last more than a few days.
I am a former CTA. I learned a thing or two. Buy wave pending. Sell it.
One of the advantages held by prop firms is the relative drawdown rule. This tilts the playing field in favor of the prop firm as the trader cannot just risk profits, as he/she might do with a broker account, otherwise wise known as ta trading with house money.
Instead, when trading a prop account, whether in the test or funded stage, the trader must be aware that there is a drawdown limit based on the high watermark. This is in contrast to a static drawdown calculated from the initial deposit regardless of how much profit is in ther account. Note. There is a broker offering static drawdowns (scroll below).
You know there is something wrong with you when almost the first thing you do on a holiday morning is peer into markets, closed or not.
The way I see it the big question is have the Trump trades been just a reaction or will the condition stick, and what will the volatility look like going forward.
1. I think we see continuation of current/recent conditions overall.
2. The more unanswered questions are solved the less uneasiness there will be.
3. Some developments will cause further chaos such as what we have seen in non-US Dollar vehicles.
4. The irony is Trump’s aggressiveness will yield stability in areas where there was little prior.
5. There will be structural improvement.
The bottom line is there is a mountain of repair work taking place already before he even gets into office. The arrangement with Mexico yesterday is an example.
The one that is bothering me is the monstrosity Yellen, the Fed and the others have left us with relation to deficits, including the trade deficit which is has been so far out of balance it has knocked the purchasing power of the US Dollar down to roughly 5 cents on the Dollar as compared to 1918.
(I spend countless hours into the wee hours of night in analysis).
The bottom line should be a long running bull run in US stocks, strength in micro-cap stocks as well including MSCI as a carry over benefit.
Continued Dollar strength overall for the long haul with some intermissions.
One of the advantages held by prop firms is the relative drawdown rule. This tilts the playing field in favor of the prop firm as the trader cannot just risk profits, as he/she might do with a broker account, otherwise wise known as ta trading with house money.
Instead, when trading a prop account, whether in the test or funded stage, the trader must be aware that there is a drawdown limit based on the high watermark. This is in contrast to a static drawdown calculated from the initial deposit regardless of how much profit is in ther account. Note. There is a broker offering static drawdowns (scroll below).
President elect Trump has not even taken office and he is already impacting markets, the latest being a threat to impose 25% tariffs on all products from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% levy on goods from China.
This followed easing market concerns after Scott Bessent was chosen to be then next Treasury Secretary so you can imagine the market reaction when Trump‘s tariff comments hit the wires.
Taken at face value an across-the-board hike in tariffs would have a severe economic impact but is this just the first salvo in “big stick” diplomacy.