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[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD 4h

1.01800 reached and breached – now we have to see is it going to close below it this week…

As long as it holds, game field is between 1.01800 and 1.03400

Below it targets immediately 1.00800

For today resistance is at 1.02500

[GVI Forex 2]

While rising UK bond yields have hit the GBP, the move up in US yields is supporting the dollar. One reason is the rise in US yields reflects a stronger economy and inflatioon concerns that have scaled back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025.

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – Another Sticky Zone

Similar to GBPUSD, to keep it simple, 1,00-at risk if below 1.02

Why I call 1.00-1.02 a sticky zone is the importance of 1.00 as a MEGA MAJOR psychological level as it is parity. Beyond that is a back hole on a monthly chart to .9500.

At a minimum, 1.0200-50+ would be needed to slow what feels like an inevitable run at parity.

[Mtl JP]

7 days and 5hrs to donald’s inauguration

at 6:17 AM EST 10-yr 4.782% , relatively calm atm

[Mtl JP]

GVI 9:30 == DXY, currently 109.8x-ish – ‘s already touched 110 fwiw

hot hot hot

[Rafe]

January 12, 2025 at 10:59 pm
#17674

como// Thanks you reminded me about the non-native feral swine species lurking in Bangalore and on GV… small beady eyes, small ears… running a whore house there under guise of a ladies parlor…

need to keep gathering more inputs on that swine.

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD WEEKLY CHART – Sticky Zone

To keep it simple, 1,20 at risk while below 1,22

Why I call 1.20-1.22 a sticky zone isa the importance of 1.20 as a MAJOR psychological level and then a void to 1.18…1 ,2034 is the  weekly chart support but pivotal big figures, such as 1.20 is clearly more important.

Looking at a 4 hour chart, any bounce not that fails to reach 1.2321 (bot the risk at the moment) should be treated as a retracement.

[GVI Forex 2]

Using my plaform as a HEATMAP — USD up vs all but JPY and CAD about unchanged, AUD lagging, GBP the underperformer, EURUSD breaks below 1.02

USD up but uneven (USD JPY an exception)
US 10 year yield Up (near 4.80 %)
US500 Down
Gold About unchanged
Crude oil UP
BTCUSD Down

[Anonymous]

If you look at previously posted ING’s analysis for fair value EURUSD

There the Euro would continue falling, except if

a) Dutch TTF Gas do fall into normal levels, that is well before the Pandemic

b) ECB starts to do real Monetary Policy Fisher style

______

Currently we see officials have opposite policies for both

That means We are going to see EURUSD printing sub par (only psychological) at some point rather soon.

Beside that the winter is getting harsh in EU and just the last pipeline via Turkey and Syria has remained open – which is the last hope for EU policy makers to hold It up somehow – But analysts say its naive’ this too as a policy, since for that pipeline to work fully one needs a stable Syria, which is not apparently in the interests of the big players there.

The more likely outcome for Syria will be that of Libya, of inter tribal clashes for power that will go on yet for many years to come.

[Mtl JP]

12:43 / gas prices just got a bit higher and longer.

ya on my toy gapped uP a qtr buck . BUT price little higher for little longer is not like it is not available at all

[Anonymous]

The European Energy Crisis / Bloomberg

COLUMN: Europe will have a natural gas problem this summer — exactly when, seasonally, demand drops and prices typically fall.

And that means the higher-for-longer outlook for regional gas prices just got a bit higher and longer.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-01-06/the-energy-outlook-europe-s-summer-to-bring-worries-about-next-winter-s-gas

[Anonymous]

If You believe Cable can recover from here on….

You will change Your mind as You see this link from London

Short term 1.21 GBPUSD is Support

 

https://apnews.com/article/britain-no-trousers-tube-prank-stunt-underground-98d85a5c9ce8c5c576ced275cfd690d0

 

[Mtl JP]

SnP 500 heading into 1rst full week of 2025 (and yr)   the t-line is sma 100

[Mtl JP]

CRUDE OIL circa $78 now
jumping uP joyfully

as reported on Fr by NYT:
U.S. Imposes New Sanctions to Squeeze Russia’s Energy Sector … ”

US … that would ol coot janet via her treasury department

[GVI Forex 2]

Dear Members (if not a member join for free), we are happy to announce that Second Round of our Weekly Evaluations is STARTING at Monday – 13.01.2025.

Grand Prize is a Prop Trading Challenge Account – 15.000 $

Global-view.com Giveaway – Round 2

[Anonymous]

Rafe I don’t know… as I see It seems me kinda very Neolithic Stock Markets

 

[Anonymous]

British treasurer Rachel Reeves said Saturday that London was a “natural home” for Chinese finance during a visit to Beijing in the shadow of bond market turmoil back home. Reeves, whose formal title is chancellor of the exchequer, is the most senior British government official to visit China since then-prime minister Theresa May held talks with President Xi Jinping seven years ago. The trip comes as the yield on British government bonds reached a 17-year high this week,

[GVI Forex 2]

THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)

• This week features significant economic updates across major economies. On Monday, India’s consumer price index for December is projected to rise 5.29% year-over-year, up from November’s 4.48%. Tuesday brings the U.S. producer price index (PPI) data, anticipated to increase 0.3% month-over-month in December, with a year-over-year rise of 3.3%. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, is expected to rise 0.2% on the month and 3.4% annually. Meanwhile, Eurozone industrial production for November is forecast to climb 0.5% month-over-month but decline 1.6% year-over-year.
• Midweek, the French annual consumer price index for December is expected to hold steady at 1.3% year-over-year, with a monthly increase of 0.2%, mirroring preliminary estimates. Similarly, the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for December is forecast to rise 0.3% on the month and 2.9% annually, while core CPI is expected to increase 0.2% on the month and 3.3% on the year. Also, Japan’s producer inflation is anticipated to reach a 17-month high of 3.8% in December, driven by higher energy and farm produce costs.
• Later in the week, the Bank of Korea is likely to cut rates by 25 basis points amid domestic and global challenges. Finally, China’s GDP report on Friday is expected to show 1.7% quarterly growth and 5.0% annual growth, reflecting the country’s economic recovery trajectory.

Econiday

[Rafe]

Talking about the 2007-2009 crisis… What brought this specific recession about was not only the pandemic but the fact that it could have been/can still be mitigated if they do renenge on their restrictions which they placed on the big banks UBS, Citi, Deutsche… around the time of the Rogue (Nigerian) trader scandal at UBS.

If the FED allows banks back into the markets to trade freely like in the 90’s and 2000’s then they are on the way to clearing away the national debt… As a matter of fact the FED can trade it’s way to financial freedom (tharpe), just short the dollar for the long term… lol!

como// The global models are still as effective now as they were then and even more so now… and much much more now… specs have pippettes or “ten thou” rather than what we had in those days of “one thou”.

[Rafe]

US stock markets cannot justify their PB valuations which is why yields are flying like Bajanero fish… lol! I just created a new species of fish!!! hehe!

[Author]

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