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[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.0304 as I type

so here we are with euro holdin 1.02 base and fairly categorically repulsed from 1.0350 look-see

Maybe things will change when someone shows donald november EU trade balance numbers with the US
and he takes a reaction-fit.

[Mtl JP]

GVI 3:23 / (waller) data could … bla bla bla

this – by saying either nothing or platitude – is how the FED gang looses credibility with players

[GVI Forex 2]

[GVI Forex 2]

Alert:

Stocks waking up to dio in bond yields…last 4,623$… US500 on my CFD feed needs to take out 5952 to boost it higher…

[GVI Forex 2]

Waller’s comments seem like an outlier but bonds have reacted a touch… as well as fc last 4.64%… but not equities

[GVI Forex 2]

Dovish commentsa from Fed’s Waller… UsD dips but other markets not reacting.

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[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – Key level loom

Key level/target looms at 2725… break would leave only 2750 guarding the record 2781 high

Keep a bid while above 2697, below it would cool

 

[GVI Forex 2]

o impetus from bon market reaction to US data… lasat 4.667%

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY even better… close to 156.30 resistance

[GVI Forex 2]

Data on deck… see our Economic Data Calendar

US 10-year 4.684% pre-data

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 15 Min Chart – So far, so good

Scroll below for my update pointing out a case for an intra-day low aa long as 155.60 holds

Thia was based on an Amazing Trader pattern and logic… Click to learn more> about this amazing charting algo

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Wall Street’s best day of the year so far was rooted in inflation relief and a boom in bank stocks reporting bumper earnings, with a retail readout up next on Thursday.

After Tuesday’s sub-forecast producer price data, the December consumer price index also surprised and the annual ‘core’ CPI inflation rate showed disinflation resumin

Morning Bid: Inflation Relief and Bumper Bank Earnings

[GVI Forex 2]

NEWSQUAWK US OPEN

European equities lifted by Tech/Luxury updates, JPY bid as BoJ hike bets mount, US Retail Sales due

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.

4 Things You Need to Know

European bourses opened on a strong footing and remain at highs, with Tech and Luxury among top performers; US futures mixed whilst NQ leads.

USD mixed vs. peers, JPY leads as BoJ hike bets mount after reports noted that BoJ is said to see a good chance of a January rate hike barring a major market rout, following Trump’s inauguration.

Gilts gap lower despite soft GDP, USTs await data and Treasury Secretary nominee Bessent’s confirmation hearing.

Crude takes a breather while base metals cheer risk appetite.

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[Mtl JP]

4 days and 5 hours to donald’s inauguration
US 10-yr 4.661%
Crude hovering around $80 … duh inflation lol

[Mtl JP]

Germans hold elections on February 23

to try to poof! Olaf

[Mtl JP]

GVI 9:29 “marching orders”
–
for the record:
“Gross domestic product down 0.2% in 2024
German economy contracts for second year in succession”

Press release No. 019 of 15 January 2025

[GVI Forex 2]

This blog article is worth revisiting as JPY crosses have been a driver today

Markets are like a river flowing downstream constantly looking for the path of least resistance. When it finds a clear path the pace of flow accelerates. This is a way to look at trading…

Forex Trading: Seeking the Path of Least Resistance

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 1 HOUR CHART –  BoJ Rate Hike Back on the Table

Selling ahead of the BoJ meeting next week, where a rate hike risk is back on the table, is again weighing on USDJPY and boosting the JPY on its crosses.

This chart, however, shows potential for a bottom today BUT ONLY IF it can stay above 155.60.

Otherwise, using 155-158 as a range puts 156.50 as the midpoint with a sEll bias while below it.

Daily chart shows a void until 153.15 if it stays below 156.

Range so far today: 155.20-156.54

[GVI Forex 2]

Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows

The JPY again outperforming as a rate cut at next week’s BoJ meeting is back on the table.

JPY cross offsets likely giving the dollar zp,e support elsewhere

[GVI Forex 2]

GER30- 4 HOUR CHART –  Marching higher

A combination of a weak currency + expectations of further rate cuts seem to outweigh any other concerns as GER30 continues its march higher.

When in unchartered territory, use the most recent high as the only resistance.

To suggest another leg higher, 50529 needs to become support.

On the downside, expect support as long as it trades above 20000.

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