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[Mtl JP]

2 days and 5 hours to donald’s ascension
last 10-yr bond trade offered 4.623%
–
Day 1 is likely to see exec orders around the issue of the border and illegal migrants

Week 1 is likely going to be a massive stack of executive orders donald made during his campaign

The Qtn is … will donald sign them all. It is his choosing and prerogative after all.

[Rafe]

The main point in the case of salaried people is that treasuries provide another source of income for them.

Many countries in the world have the one job allowed only restrictions, and restrictions on what their employees can do after work mainly that they cannot take up a second job or freelance a job on the side or have a legal entity in their name as such matters are seen as the employee having a conflict of interest, having a legal entity conducting business in the same or even different industry serves as grounds for the employee facing immediate termination, no questions asked. Many countries also do not have effective welfare programs…

So what many salaried people in those countries do is to look for other streams of income such as fixed income securities, buying rental properties etc.

Their investing in fixed income government securities is the harmless way.

Treasury prices can also plateau for many years but then there is frequent cash turnover and reinvestment which when done long enough doubles their net worth.

Some people think rental property is the way but it is not, oh! the rental property will keep on growing in value. However, that is relevant if they plan to rent then sell the property in 10 years and not hold it for 50 years because at that time then who will be willing to pay market value with the hope saying oh! rental rates and property prices will keep on growing in the future… rental and property prices tend to plateau and stay flat for many years at a stretch. Now where is the appreciation in that?. The whole building gets older over time, and needs maintenance which costs $$$$$, The costs of building materials and a team of workers are justified only if the property is purchased for the owner to live in the property with his/her family.

Treasury yields nowadays are higher than property yields and will remain so in future times to come.

[Mtl JP]

that you are an incarnation of a crystal ball

[GVI Forex 2]

if I told you the 10 year bond yield would fall from 4.80% to briefly under 4.60% and the dollar would close the week on a firm note, what would you say?

[GVI Forex 2]

US500  DAILY CHART –  WAKE UP TIME

US500 waking up to falling bond yields to inch closer to 6000.

While key resistance looms at 6009-39, the pivotal 6000 level will dictate whether this move makes a serious run at the record 6101 high.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDCAD DAILY CHART – TESTS HIH

1.3553 TESTED AGIN… FORM BREAK MEANS ONLY THE PIVOTAL 1.45 STANDS IN TH WAY OF MAJOR 1.3551 LEVEL

[GVI Forex 2]

And EURUSD Is back to 1.03…. just a stop hunt  as suggested

[GVI Forex 2]

Stocks like the bromance talk

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUsd 1 hour chart – freaky friday

EURUSD 1.0309

Took out stops at 1.0315 (high 1.0330) but would need to move aboive 1.0354 to make thia anything more than a Friday stop hunt.

[GVI Forex 2]

Trump/Xi bromance comments raising hope the worst case tariffs scenario will not be realized.

Clearlty blindsided a thin pre-holiday market that was buying USD.

[GVI Forex 2]

Dollar coming off highs /slipping (except USDJPY (HIGHER AS BOND YIELDS TICK UP)) after concilatory remarks from Trump and Xi

Source:

Try Newsquawk for 7 Days Free

[GVI Forex 2]

USDCAD DAILY CHART –Key high looms

Failure to test 1.4298 has seen a run to the upside where 1.4410, broken overnight, exposes the major 1.4664 level while above it.

[GVI Forex 2]

Dollar firm despite the dip in yields

Relative economic outlook or hedge against risk of tariff claroity

[GVI Forex 2]

US STOCKS WAKING UP TO THE DIP IN US YIELDS (4.565%)

[GVI Forex 2]

Japanese news reports indicating a rate hike is likely at next week’s BoJ meeting.

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Salvos from a Federal Reserve governor and the incoming Treasury Secretary helped nail down this week’s inflation-inspired retreat in worrisome U.S. Treasury yields before Donald Trump’s inauguration as president on Monday.

The reversal of the year’s rise in U.S. yields and the dollar coupled with news of an upbeat end to last year for China’s economy nudged world stocks up on Friday

Morning Bid: Waller and Bessent help peg back Treasury yields

[GVI Forex 2]

 NEWSQUAWK US OPEN

Stocks edge higher, JGBs lag on further BoJ sources, UK Retail sales weigh on GBP

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.

4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses grind higher, US futures modestly in the green.

USD marginally firmer, JPY softer and GBP knocked lower by disappointing retail sales.

JGBs lag slightly on further BoJ reports, Gilts gapped higher on Retail Sales.

Mixed trade in the base metal complex but crude stays firm.

Try Newsquawk for 7 Days Free

[GVI Forex 2]

US 10 year bond yield dips below 4.60% (was testing 4.80% just a few days agp) –See if this wakes up THe FX market

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART –  Tests 155

The main action remains in USDJPY and JPY crosses

155 remains the pivotal level on the downside (low 154.97) and a break of 156.35 would be needed to postpone the risk.

For FIBO lovers, here are retracement levels for 158/88-154.97 using our Fibonacci Calculator

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART –So  close but then…

Came ever so close my log held target at 2725 but a failure to break it makes it dependent on 2690-97 and the trendline holding to keep the bid.

[Author]

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