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[Rafe]

Anyone heard of “Free Range Chicken Meat” and “Free Range Chicken Eggs”. Nowadays people who got land space can build chicken barns large enough to accomodate more chickens and eggs than they can eat and have to give away to friends and neighbors and strangers… A chicken barn about 2000 sq ft can house approx 900-1000 chickens but it is needed only when there is a predatory threat or when the weather is bad (Rain, Snow, Flood, Heat Waves etc) but other than that the chickens are allowed to roam about outside the barn, and perch under the shade of trees, on logs/tree branches laid all over the land for them. What do they feed them?. They eat what lives on the land, such as various plants/insects/earthworms etc. The major diet for them however consists of boiled rice mixed with oats / boiled rice & oats mixed in with overripe fruits and vegetables / a banana tree/lettuce/cabbage is shredded and mixed with oats and boiled rice and about 20% commercial poultry feed. Chickens require feeds high in water content to make their meat juicier when cooked, and need to have enough salt in their food which will make them thirsty to drink ample water and not dehydrate as a result. Free range chickens suffer from no stress, are healthier as well. Their meat is lean with less fat. Their eggs weigh slightly less, egg yields are about 30% less but contain a higher amount of Omega’s…

—————–

Expect record-high egg prices for most of the year

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/01/25/business/egg-prices-avian-flu-outbreak/index.html

[GVI Forex 2]

Big event week ahead

Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights – 27-31st January 2025

Highlights include FOMC, ECB, BoC, US PCE, EZ GDP, Tokyo and Australian CPI

[Mtl JP]

WSJ – The most important global events likely to affect FX and bond markets in the week starting Jan. 27

Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: Fed, ECB Decisions in Focus
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/week-ahead-for-fx-bonds-fed-ecb-decisions-in-focus-c42d243b?mod=hp_major_pos2

[Mtl JP]

Predictions, promises, words, action, results
Which matters most ?

At donald’s signing establishing working group to make murrica world crypto capital

donald: ” the interest rates will come down”
News chick to donald: “you said that you will demand that interest rates come down.
donald: “well …. I ll put in a strong statement”
news chick: “do you expect the FED to listen to you ?
donald: “yeah”

1/25/2025
10-yr : 4.617
2yr : 4.263

[Rafe]

Gotta love Trump for banning CBDC. According to me, there ain’t gonna be a bitcoin stockpile, as time evolves they eventually will see the light, as Crypto has no value in real-life transactions but the dollar does…. It is better to make agreements with other countries which fully deregulate trading in the US dollar and which in turn would make it more accessible(online/offline) to the public and that would go even further to strengthen it’s hold as the reserve currency. Many countries via their banking mechanisms do not give citizens the freedom of choice.

Trump Bans CBDC, Forms Task Force To Regulate Cryptocurrency and Create Bitcoin Stockpile.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-bans-cbdc-forms-task-074208266.html?guccounter=1

[Rafe]

EURUSD:- The price at which to short it is at 1.1036…

 

GL GT

[Belgrade Bobby]

DAX Futures FDAX1!

DAX hit a new high today, but seems that some nice correction is in the cards now.

Supports : 21.200 & 20.950

If capable of staying above those, it can continue hitting new highs…

Time wise – it is ready to get in a deeper correction.

[Belgrade Bobby]

XRPUSD Daily

If it closes tonight below 3.16 – it is topping out .

Targets in that case around 2.70

However close above 3.1750 would open a road for another test of high in 3.35-3.40 area

[Belgrade Bobby]

BTCUSD Daily

January 23, 2025 at 8:28 pm

Pattern is Clear Bullish – Calls for a new high tomorrow.

Well, two for two …

Next day – more up – but…has to go now over 110K and preferably over 112K or faces another kick down – correctional of course…

 

[GVI Forex 2]

EURGBP (weaker) order supporting GBPUSD and pushing EURUSD back below 1.05

[Belgrade Bobby]

GBPUSD Daily / 4h

Cable broke the long term downtrend line ( from September 2024.)

Now the real hurdle is at 1.26050 – that was the channel support trendline and if it manages to break above it and stay there, new universe opens – leading all the way till 1.38.

But let’s focus for now on coming days…

It has to stay above 1.23350 to be able to form a real bottom.

With the current situation , you have to be aware that chances are 50-50 for tomorrow – it can continue with next leg up, but also it is very possible to retrace back to MA – 1.23850

It just doesn’t pay to play with that kind of probability, unless you entered the position below 1.23850 – then you can risk it – stop on zero and leave it be.

[SF Monedge]

We saw new highs after long standing highs holding in some stock futures.  This is about where the odds increase for a temporary pull back of non-dramatic proportion.  I can see them lingering around current levels prior for a few days but we could just as well see a linear drop.  Overall stocks in the US especially are receiving inflows.  This of course will affect Eur/Usd behavior.

[Mtl JP]

usdcad 1.4330ish — here is tradeable theme for you
Next week FED stays put and BoC cuts a qtr

or is it ?

[GVI Forex 2]

Getting pretty close to the point of no return on a Friday. …meaning either a range or lower USD depwnding on how EURUSD trades vs 1.05.

USDJPY failure to test 156.75 capped its upside as suggested

[GVI Forex 2]

S&P Global Services PMI misseson downside but not as important asa the ISM

Next final U of M consumer sentiment, Existing Home Sales

See our Economic Data Calendar

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD Daily

Last night’s prediction : The pattern for tonight says : Up – so another leg up ( hope Mr. President doesn’t talk in his sleep…)

So Up it was…Pattern never ( or almost never) lies…

To explain something : when there is a proper angle of move, pattern hits it 96% of the time ( 4% someone talked in his/her sleep)

And how to spot the right angle and decide it is the Signal – well, that’s an art…

Resistance at 1.05350 is waiting.

Now another rule of the game : that broken trendline will act as a support from now on – yet again that 1.03500 is a level to keep in mind.

P.S. Am I gloating here ?? Nooo….not at all 😀

[GVI Forex 2]

With Trump calling for lower interest rates and the Fed meeting next week, this article in our blog is worth reading as it was ahead of the curve.

The question for me is not if but when President Trump and Fed Chair Powell will clash over monetary policy

Is a Clash of the Titans, Trump vs. Powell, Inevitable?

https://global-test.financialmarkets.media/is-a-clash-of-the-titans-trump-vs-powell-inevitable/

 

 

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 1 HOUR CHAPT – Key level cited

As I noted earlier, support below 155 caught my eye but the extent of the bounce is a surprise. Key level is 156.75, then a void of key levels until above 158 (not a forecast but an observation).

IN any case, upside will be contained unless 156.75 is firmly taken out.

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

The dollar fell to its lowest of the year as the Bank of Japan delivered a long-awaited interest rate rise on Friday, euro business unexpectedly returned to growth and President Donald Trump’s latest comments gave China a lift.

Morning Bid: Dollar swoons as BOJ hikes, euro zone grows, yuan relieved

[GVI Forex 2]

NEWSQUAWK US OPEN

DXY pressured by Trump remarks, EZ PMIs lift the EUR, BoJ hike as expected

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.

5 Things You Need to Know

European bourses mostly firmer, whilst US futures tilt a little lower; Burberry +15% post-results.

DXY in the doldrums as Trump waters down tariff rhetoric and calls for lower interest rates.

USTs a little firmer, Bunds pressured by EZ PMIs and BoJ Governor Ueda spurs JGB action.

Base metals soar amid Trump’s China commentary and a weaker dollar.

BoJ hiked rates by 25bps to 0.50%, as expected via an 8-1 vote with Nakamura the dissenter. Governor Ueda said the Board has judged that spring wage talks will result in strong hikes again this year. No preset idea on future adjustments. No preconceived ideas around the scope/timing of the next rate rise.

Next rate hike will depend less on economic growth but more on price moves.

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[Author]

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