When I see USDJPY trade higher, the first thing I look at are US bond yields, which are trading higher.
It is not clear whether bonds are reacting to recent cautious Fedspeak, the risk of higher inflation from tariffs, month.quarter end portfolio rebalancing or a combination.
US futures modestly lower amid tariff reports, GBP lags & EUR/USD attempts to reclaim 1.08
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start!
Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.
5 Things You Need to Know
Tariffs in focus amid reports that Trump could implement copper tariffs in weeks, elsewhere reports that Canada could find some reprieve
European bourses opened firmer but have since slumped, US futures are in the red but only modestly so
GBP lags after UK CPI, EUR/USD attempts to reclaim 1.08, USD/JPY rebounded overnight but is off highs
Gilts gapped higher on data and extended but have retreated to opening levels into the Spring Statement, USTs softer while Bunds are firmer but only modestly so
Crude continues to inch higher with a handful of factors underpinning, TTF slips as talks continue, Copper soared on tariff updates but has since pulled back
Note the price action in EURUSD 1.0810 ( vs. dip to 1.0799) and USDJPY 149.80 (vs 149.53 low) after whatever real money sell order was apparently filled and EURJPY bounced off its low.
As I have also noted, when USFJPY makes a sharp move and another currency lags badly or diverges, it is more often than not the result of an offset from a JPY cross.
… week starting out in a risk on mood after Trump’s reciprocal tariff comments… As I have noted, while markets may react to the latest headline actions speak louder than words (April 2 is the reciprocal tariff day).
… the dollar is trading weaker but off earlier lows… exception is USDJPY but remains below 150