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USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART –  Watch bond yields
Posted yesterday after the Fed rate announcement…
FX is following US bond yields… back to square one after post Fed pop as Powell walks about hawkish part of statement.
Keep this one simple:
Chart is bearish bit as you can see very choppy.
Bearish while below 155 but..
Only below 153.70 would break the current range
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
JPY outperforming… look no father than US interest rates, which peaked at 4.59% for the 10-year after the Fed announcement, then slipped back and were last quoted at 4.506^
Next up is the ECB decision, the 3rd in the CB trifecta, where a 25bps cur is widely expected, leaving the focus on the forward guidance. Given the lack of strong reactions to the other CB decisions yesterday, it is hard to predict one here.
EURUSD a touch softer, levels to watch
1.0371/92 – 1.0444/57
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
USD Is firmer (except vs JPY but USDJPY Is still above 155)) ahead of the FOMC (and BOC) rate decisions despite lower bond yields as market is showing  little fear of the Fed.
USDCAD is firmer ahead of a widely expected BoN 25bps rate cut.
AUDUSD hit after CPI raised expectations of Feb rate cut.
Uncertainties around U.S. policies could slow global economic growth modestly in 2025, according to major brokerages. They expect U.S. President Donald Trump’s likely plan to raise tariffs to fuel volatility in global markets, raising inflationary pressures, which could limit major central from easing their monetary policy.
Following are the forecasts from some top banks on economic growth, inflation and the performance of major asset classes in 2025.
Forecasts for stocks, currencies and bonds:
Brokerage        S&P 500 target U.S. 10-year yield  EUR/USD      USD/JPY       USD/CNY
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – Key levels
Bounce from 153.73 would need to break the trendline + 156.25 to suggest the low is on for now.
Otherwise, keep an eye on 155 to set its tone (while within 154=156) and the risk tone as set by US equities.
FIBOS for 158.86 => 153.73 using our Fibonacci Calculator
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows
The day after an earthquake wher the damage was not as bad as initially thought but wary of aftershocks,
The dollar trading firmer after:reacting to Treasury Secretary Bessent’s tariff remarks (reaction to news is what matters)
Panic selling in equities at this time yesterday easing
USDJPY back above -155
EURUSD backing away from 1.05
Focus should shift to respective monetary policy meetings (BoC, Fed, ECB)
GBP/JPY AT EXACTLY 5:30PM NIGERIAN TIME SHOWS A DOWNWARD SLOPE BIAS. THERE WAS A DESCENDING GAP WHICH I TOOK ADVANTAGE OF FOR A FEW PIPS. MARKET PRICE WAS AT 192.37 AS AT THEN THEN I WENT IN FOR A FEW PIPS, WITH THE PLAN TO EXIT AT PRICE 152.25
THIS IS A GOOD MONDAY EVENING TO TRADE THE MARKET AS MARKET IS TRENDING BEAUTIFULLY. I HOPE TO CATCH A FEW PIPS HERE BEFORE MARKET RETRACES AND GOES THE OTHER WAY.
Using my platform as a HEATMAP
While the first trade war has been averted, it is a risk off start to the week
Stocks off sharply => bond yields down shar[;y =: JPY (and CHF) outperforming… Catalyst: Popularity of China’s discount AI, DeepSeek, which has hit the high valuation AI stocka
BTCUSD smashed  lower as well.
