XAUUSD:- My forecast on Gold is below:
There is strong support for Gold @ $2308.00 and stiff resistance @ $3000.40.
The near term flash points are at $2654.20 & $2677.28 respectively.
I expect a lot of profit taking at $3000.40 and a strong collapse from that level at see some buying at $2654. Any short breaches above $3000.40 level can be shorted for humongous returns. At $2308 I expect to see massive buying by central banks around the world. However, if the momentum is stronger at $3000.40 then I’ll redo my analysis and update it accordingly.
GL GT
XAUUSD – Gold Daily
Supports : 2660.00, 2640.00 & 2620.00
Resistances : 2680.00, 2695.00 & 2735.00
As proven time and time again , my “Historical” trend lines and angles are working perfectly.
But what does it mean ???
Well, if Gold manages to go over 2735.00 in coming days, we should be seeing new Rally in which case Target is in 3.000 area.
But if not, it is going to be a prolonged correction, lading all the way to 2320.00
NEWSQUWK US OPEN
US futures gain modestly, USTs contained into data & supply
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses are mixed, US futures gain slightly.
USD remains soggy vs. peers, EUR digests CPI metrics, Antipodeans lead.
USTs are contained into data, EGBs lift slightly on HICP, Gilts lag.
A choppy start for crude while spot gold benefits from the broadly softer Dollar.
Using my platform as a Heatmap shows the USD lower vs all but the JPY, so you can see what cross flows are helping to drive the price action today.
To suggest anything more than typical start of year trading, EURUSD 1.0375 and/or GBPUSD 1.25+ would need to be regained.
USDJPY 158 remains pivotal as above it opens the door for 1.50.
US stocks up, bond yields up (ust a few bps) , GOLD down
How markets end tge week will be more important than how they start out.
All about positions, first before the hawkish Fed and then the not hawkish BOE
Positions getting squeezed
Long GBP (e.g. short EURGBP)
Long BTCUSD/Cryptos
Long Gold
Long Stocks
Less short EURUSD (meaning less ability to absorb selling)
Apparently long JPY
Markets don’t move this way when they get it right
Those who got blown away will pack it in for the holidays
Those who made out okay will bank their winnings and try not to give it back
Bottom line buy USD dips especially if there is a correction earlier in the day like today
Beware of further liquidations if those with vulnerable positions look to square up, which is typical at this time of year, ahead of a thin Xmas week.
After price took out the liquidity on the H4 swing low on Gold, it has broken above that level and it’s rising steadily. I believe there’s a good opportunity for a quick 1 to 2 RR trade here. I’m risking 1% of my account here to make 2%. Risk management is key to success. I believe price will take out that short term swing high
My sell idea worked out for Gold, there was a minor support there, building up liquidity as seen on my post earlier, as soon as price took out that zone, I was very confident that we will see massive sells, 35% up on my account in a day, without breaching the 5% drawdown.
I think I would be topping the leaderboards if there were one 😉
Straddle trading idea, we have got the highly anticipated FOMC news by 8pm GMT+1, Gold is reacting to a key level on the H4 timeframe, above we have an intermediate swing high that price is very likely to be drawn to, but if that support zone fails, I believe price will go down and sweep the nearest swing low. There will be a lot of volatility, and statistically, straddle trading techniques are the most efficient for extremely volatile price movements
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