Since setting a record high 9 days ago, XAUUSD has traded either side of 2650 in the following 8 days.
This is clearly the pivotal level, especially if you view the current range at 2600-2700.
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GOLD has been aa disappointment in that it is not benefiting from safe haven flows but it remains to be seen if it is just biding its time, In any case, 2650 will eventually dictate whether the current move is just a pause or the start of a retracement,
Consolidating between 2650-2570 (record high) for 2 days… given the strength of this move, there are not likely to see a lot of stops above the high bid… keeps a bid as long a 2650 trade.
Risk on/risk off does not seem to influence gold so watch to see if can extend its record high… if not then it would need to break below 2650 to suggest anything more than a pause.
Interestingly forwards and other items on UsdJpy are being bought strongly, which is counter intuitive to a rate cut. Either they are right and get golden parachutes after volatility the pair goes up, or a lot of people are going to have to answer to the boss after today.
Nasdaq composite: Once again, it’s make-or-break for breadth
Dow futures up slightly, S&P 500 slip, Nasdaq 100 off ~0.5%
Sep NY Fed Manufacturing index 11.5 vs -4.75 estimate
Euro STOXX 600 index off ~0.1%
Dollar down; bitcoin off ~2; gold edges up; crude up >1%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield ~flat at ~3.66%
NASDAQ COMPOSITE: ONCE AGAIN, IT’S MAKE-OR-BREAK FOR BREADTH The Nasdaq composite IXIC is still down more than 5% from its record highs. That said, the tech-laden index is on a five day win streak, and just posted its biggest weekly rise since early-November 2023.