#1 on my checkl;ist is to look at my platform, which I use as a heat map, to get a feel for currency flows. What caught my eye today is weaker USDJPY (firmer JPY), weaker EUR and GBP. When two currencies move in opposite directions vs the USD it generally indicates some real money flows.
Unlike retail or day traders, large funds or “real money” traders do not have the luxury of being able to turn positions quickly. While I am not privy to how they trade, especially since each follow its own strategy, logic says that they focus more on longer term than shorter term charts.
For this reason, I pay attention to what longer term charts show even though I do not trade in those time frames. I am most interested in any levels that would change the trend or technical picture,
Ok I survived my near miss in EurJpy from yesterday and am now interested in the buy side 163.25. There is too much geo risk for it not to pull back at least once.
EURO 1.0515
gunning for 1.05 (alleged human psychological pricepoint)
allegedly on one side are those who dont want to see it trade
and on the other side are those wanting to screw the “defenders'”
and run the puppy to approx 1.0450
Looking at EURUS battle 1.0550, it’s time to revisit this popular article in our blog
In the world of electronic forex trading where an increasing volume is generated by automated programs, it is amazing that psychological or emotional levels still have a significant impact. It may be that my mind acts as an algo but whatever the case there are pivotal forex trading levels that I use that are as relevant today as they were when I first started trading. One of these is the “50”level.
The first item on my checklist when I start the day is to look at bond yields,
So far today UK yields up the most after UK CPI (touch higher than expected), US (note USDJPY correlation with firmer US yields) and German yields up the least (note EURUSD down after failure to hold 1.06+ and weaker EURGBP)
With EURUSD bouncing from 1.05, USDJPY focued on 155 , USDCAD moving below 1.40 and AUDUSD above .65, all pivotal levels, this article in our blog is worth revisiting.
In the world of electronic and automated trading programs, it still amazes me that psychological levels are still a factor.
Good thing I am maneuverable and skilled at hedging because that EurJpy kept going lol. It is going back down but I have this little concern called Nvidia. It is very possible there is another shock surprise and markets go on a tear and Euro goes up with it. And it seems the fools who are toying with nuclear war are scrambling to fix their mistake and lightening the geo risk a bit. Can’t be perfect all the time. Still up 150 points since Sunday night but should be 225.