Using my platform as a heatmap shows modest moves so far with GBP and CHF (odd bedfellows) outperforming, EURUSD showing little change, and USDJPY up a touch while JPY is weaker on crosses.
1.05, which traded Tuesday-Friday last week, has been extended to 5 days in a row on Monday. Range is limited while this pattern continues but the longer it goes on the greater the risk of a directional move once it is broken.
This is similar to the recent USDJPY pattern around 150 and you can see what happened after that pattern was broken,
In the meantime, there is a double top at 1.0524 ahead of resistance at 1.0531-39.
On the downside, 1.0480 blocks last week’s 1.0453 low.
nOTE, THE 2 PILLARS OF EURUSD SUPPORT WERE EURGBP AND EURJPY. EURGBP is weaker today so more of a weight on EURUSD than support. EURJPY is still trading with a bid.
USDJPY stalls on upside, only way for EURJPY to move higher is then via a firmer EURUSD
EURGBP = EURUSD/GBPUSD
GBPUSD stalls on downside, only way for EURJPY to move higher is via a firmer EURUSD
EURUSD LAST AT 1.0518 (FIRMER)… BUT STILL BELOW THE 1.0530-40 RESISTANCE… TEST FOR EURUSD WILL BE WHETHER IT CAN KEEP A BID ONCE ITS DROSSES TOP OUT…. A test it failed yesterday in a similar situation
When you see 2 currencies move in opposite directions vs the USD you can assume there are real money flows driving the bus…. creating a tuug-of-war between USDJPY and EURUSD
This is the case today in EURJPY… key level is the daily trnedline (162.40)…watch shorter time frame charts f
Nice trading as long as you did not overstay your welcome (EURUSD back above 1.05)
Remember we are coming into that time of year when traders will not be looking to take on risk and smart ones trading closer to the vest or day trading.
This will be especially true next week.
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