S/P 500 futures are either going to form a double top around 5122 today or blow through it to set new levels of price. 5070-80 is the area to hold the bid, nearby contract opened Asia bid but fell to hold a closer in 5090 pivot, currently 5100. Eur tends to move with US stocks on a risk on/off basis. 10yr yield at 42.70 is right in the middle of the recent range 42.20 – 43.50. DXY showing much sturdier than yields and showing signs of strength that could stick overall into next week. Headed into the weekend one might believe the risk appetite would be not so hot with so much geo-political/war risk present. Currently positioned lightly on the sell side of Usd/Chf from this morning’s high minus 2 pips with a tight stop.
EURUSD Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
The EURUSD pair is currently testing the 1.0789 support level once again. A breakdown below this level would suggest that the upside move from 1.0694 has concluded at 1.0887. In such a scenario, the next target levels would be at 1.0750, followed by 1.0694.
However, if the 1.0789 support level holds, the pullback from 1.0887 could potentially be a consolidation phase for the uptrend from 1.0694. In this case, another rise towards the 1.0950 level is still possible after the consolidation.
The initial resistance level is at 1.0840. A breakthrough of this level could potentially take the price to the next resistance level at 1.0887. Above this level, the price could aim for 1.0950.
CHF should continue to be the weakest link….
Meanwhile eur looks like it could do a little kerplunk of its own as the hourly chart over the last week looks more and more like down moves are more impulsive while up moves more corrective AND shallower (or whatever the inverse of shallow is when it refers to higher)…
Clearly risk on, but stalling at the moment. Buy stops worked beautifully now looking to re-enter lower on the risk currencies (Eur-Aud etc). Not biting on the buy side of UsdJpy going forward due to BoJ, worked yesterday but sell stops turned out to be more appropriate. Seller of UsdJpy going forward even if I have to wait for buy side of the market to run out of steam.
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland
European investors are due for a super-sized helping of inflation data, with a side of bitcoin, on a day when Asian equities offered few trading cues and currencies were stable – with the notable exception of the Japanese yen.
EURUSD Analysis: Sideways Move Continues, Key Levels to Watch
The EURUSD pair failed to break below the 1.0789 support level and has been moving sideways within a trading range between 1.0789 and 1.0887. This suggests that the pair is still in the uptrend from 1.0694, and the sideways move is likely a consolidation phase for the uptrend.
As long as the 1.0789 support level holds, the upside move could be expected to resume. A breakthrough of the 1.0887 resistance level could trigger further upside movement towards the 1.0950 area.
On the downside, a breakdown below 1.0789 would confirm that the upside move from 1.0694 has already completed at 1.0887. In this case, the next target would be at 1.0750, followed by 1.0694.
EURUSDÂ 4h
Resistance at 1.08500 – if rejected at it, we are going in maybe not very deep correction, but still a correction phase for at least 24h.
But if 1.08500 gives a way, just to be stopped at either 1.08650 or 1.08900, we are going slowly to turn Down.
Support at 1.08300 and 1.07850 – bellow which we target 1.07000 and the whole previous Up move becomes questionable.
Close tonight above 1.08300 calls for retest of previous high, but not more than that…and that is my experience, instincts and pattern recognition talking.
© 2024 Global View