A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland
An underwhelming kick-off to China’s eagerly watched week-long annual parliament, the National People’s Congress, plus a weak Wall Street close overnight kept risk assets on the back foot on Tuesday, with the very notable exception of bitcoin.
– The Dollar Index retreats as market attention shifts to job data and Fed President Powell’s remarks, impacting its trajectory.
– The EUR/USD pair faces a crucial juncture after Euro-zone inflation slightly exceeds expectations, with the ECB’s interest rate decision shaping the currency’s next move.
My understanding is 1. They care more about eur/chf and 2. Do not underestimate the significance of Jordan, who was always an advocate of a strong chf in the fight against inflation, stepping down….
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole.
It’s been a largely risk-on start to a week packed with central bank events and major data that will refine market wagers for when developed world interest rates will finally start falling.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s semiannual testimony beginning on Wednesday, and how he spins the outlook for rate cuts, will be the first of two major events in the US. The second will be Friday’s monthly employment report where slowing payroll growth together with cooling wage pressures – both favorable for rate cuts – are expected. Neither the Bank of Canada on Wednesday nor the European Central Bank on Thursday are expected to cut rates.
Tokyo consumer prices will be Tuesday’s highlight amid expectations for a pop higher in the data. Chinese consumer price data will be posted on Saturday, March 9 local time in what is expected to be another very benign report.
Updates from Germany and whether the country is sliding into recession will open on Wednesday with merchandise trade followed on Thursday with manufacturing orders and on Friday with industrial production. Declines are mostly expected for the latter reports.
Australian fourth-quarter GDP on Wednesday is expected to show modest growth, while Canada’s labour force survey on Friday is expected, much like the consensus for Friday’s US report, to retrace unusual gains from January.
JP – it feels to me like they are more reactive to the markets/economy, which is how it should be. The one’s who are full of hot air are Yellen and Powell. Yellen because she is a communist and Powell because he is scared lol.
Believe AudJpy has decent odds to challenge 98.30-40 area eventually where it would be prudent to consider the sell side for positioning even if it inevitably challenges 99 from a longer term viewpoint. Currently 98.05. EurJpy will inevitably trade below 162 looking outward, likely after another short lived bout of buy side interest.