New Month and New Quarter
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First some base points from which markets will head into a new month and quarter
SPX 5 day -1.53%; 1m -6.27%; 3 m -6.53%; ytd -5.11%
DJIA 5 day -0.96%; 1m -5.15; 3m -3.28%; ytd -2.26%
Nazdaq 5 day-.25%; 1m -8.09%; 3m -12.16%; ytd -10.29%
Group-think pundits observe that Q1 bear sentiment is typically a seasonal phenom.
(As is, typically, positive for the DLR)
Partial-group think optimists speculate that next month “could” offer “an opportunity” for players.
Recent incoming data related to growth in economic activity has been rather dismal, referring to metrics that the FED claims matter to it.
Businesses and individuals, for their part, have been sending out smoke signal data indicating concern about future financial and economic growth prospects. Some portion of pundits are protracting that into increasing odds of coming Recession. But not all – i.e. no consensus on the matter.
There appears to be a softening amongst pundits about “soft landing” and increased itchings about potential of stagflation in various degrees of intensity.
While US30 closed just above 40000, it stayed below the 40053 high
Looking ahead, there is only one level to watch and that is 40000. If it becomes support and 40053 is taken out next target would be a guess.
Of course, a failure to break the high and hold above 40000 would suggest a faikure but there is noi percentage to stand in from of a fast-moving train.
Of interest is all markets ignored a rise in US bond yields today